Name: Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC
End: 2026-04-26T07:00:00.000Z

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Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-26?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-26?	Poly	51%
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-26?	Poly	40%
Will Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?	Poly	10%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, April 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 26, 2026 (10 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Australia A-League game, scheduled for Sunday, April 26, 2026 between Melbourne City FC and Adelaide United FC.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 26, 2026
If Melbourne City FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up ga"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $25
* **Total Liquidity:** $225
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.11)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-26?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 26, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 26, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-26?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 26, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

9d 20h remaining

Apr 26, 2026 7:00 AM

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Average Yes Price

34¢

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Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC

Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC

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Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-26?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC

Markets (3)

Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-26?

Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-26?

Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-26?

Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-26?

Will Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?

Will Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?

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Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-26?

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Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC

Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-26?

Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-26?

Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-26?

Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-26?

Will Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?

Will Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?

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