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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

NWSL: 2026 Runner-Up

NWSL: 2026 Runner-Up
Vol

PM $360.87

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Events

1

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Markets

10

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 20, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Angel City FC at 38.5%.

Polymarket

  1. Angel City FC38.5%
  2. Denver Summit FC38.5%
  3. Gotham FC38.5%
  4. Kansas City Current38.5%
  5. North Carolina Courage38.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $360.87

Reported volume · provider units

10

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the runner-up of the NWSL for the 2026 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of NWSL for the 2026 season per the rules of NWSL (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the NWSL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

Each contract in this snapshot asks whether a named NWSL club will be the runner-up for the 2026 season. The Yes outcome resolves if that club is "determined as the runner-up of the NWSL for the 2026 season" [1]. If a listed club becomes unable to finish as runner-up, its contract resolves to "No" [1].

The rules also set a tie-break and a fallback. If several teams are declared second-place finishers, the market resolves in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically [1]. If the event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no runner-up is declared in that window, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The listed end time is 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z [1]. That is a closing time in the contract data, not an announced event date.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observation time is 2026-10-19T06:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-19T08:11:06Z [1]. These prices describe that observation, not live conditions at the time you read this.

The sample includes all 11 saved markets for this event, and the coverage record marks the sample as not partial [1]. Six clubs show a Yes price of 0.385 and a No price of 0.615: Angel City FC, Denver Summit FC, Gotham FC, North Carolina Courage, San Diego Wave FC, and Seattle Reign FC. Five clubs show a Yes price of 0.38 and a No price of 0.62: Kansas City Current, Orlando Pride, Portland Thorns FC, Utah Royals, and Washington Spirit [1].

The gap between 0.385 and 0.38 is small, and these are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Because the markets are separate contracts with their own wording, the prices should be read one contract at a time rather than ranked into a single forecast.

What remains uncertain

The provider's "Other" outcome is part of the rules but does not appear as a priced market in this sample, so no price for it is shown. The sample also does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome [1].

The evidence does not explain why prices sit where they do, how many traders hold each position, or what volume means for liquidity. Trading activity is not captured here beyond the snapshot prices. Whether any club will be declared runner-up depends on the official NWSL outcome described in the rules, which has not been established by this snapshot [1].

References

  1. Polymarket: NWSL: 2026 Runner-Up. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTC

Overview

This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket event titled "NWSL: 2026 Runner-Up" [1]. The event contains one contract for each listed club, and each contract asks whether that club will be the runner-up of the National Women's Soccer League (NWSL) for the 2026 season [1]. A contract resolves to "Yes" if its listed club is determined to be the runner-up, and to "No" otherwise [1]. The rules include several special cases. If a listed participant can no longer finish as runner-up under NWSL rules, for example because it has been eliminated, its contract resolves to "No" [1]. If more than one team is declared a second-place finisher, the contract favors the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically [1]. If the event is cancelled, is postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no runner-up is declared within that timeframe, the contract resolves to "Other" [1]. The stated resolution source is official information from the NWSL, although a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1]. The provider listed the event as active, with a listed end time of 2027-01-01T04:59:00Z [1]. That timestamp is a contract rule. It is not an announced date for when the runner-up will be determined. The saved market data reflects an observation at 2026-10-19T06:00:06Z, and it was retrieved shortly after. A price in this snapshot describes the market at that observation time and is not a live or executable quote. The saved event includes eleven club contracts, and all eleven were included in the sample [1]. Those eleven are the full set of contracts saved for this provider event. The sample does not establish that every possible real-world outcome is listed.

Historical Context

The supplied background is limited. Wikipedia describes Esther González as a striker and states that she is the all-time top scorer for Gotham FC of the National Women's Soccer League [2]. Wikipedia also states that Manaka Matsukubo previously played in the NWSL for the North Carolina Courage and won NWSL Midfielder of the Year in 2025 [3]. These entries are general biographical background. They do not establish 2026 standings, the outcome of the 2026 season, or the identity of the runner-up.

Why It Matters

The contract measures a single narrow outcome: whether a specified NWSL club finishes as the 2026 runner-up [1]. Because each club has its own contract, the market is structured as a set of separate yes or no questions rather than one question with a single answer [1]. The special rules matter for interpretation. An eliminated club resolves to "No" before the season ends, while a tie for second place is settled by alphabetical order rather than by a split result [1]. The "Other" outcome covers cancellation, a late postponement, or the absence of a declared runner-up [1]. The resolution rules point to official NWSL information as the primary source, with consensus credible reporting as a possible supplement [1]. A reader should therefore check the rules, not the price alone, to understand what would settle each contract.

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What does a "Yes" resolution mean in this event?

A "Yes" resolution applies to a contract whose listed club is determined to be the runner-up of the NWSL for the 2026 season [1].

What happens if a club is eliminated from runner-up contention?

If it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up under NWSL rules, the corresponding contract resolves to "No" [1].

What happens if two clubs are declared second-place finishers?

The market resolves in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically [1].

When would a contract resolve to "Other"?

It would resolve to "Other" if the event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if a runner-up has not been declared within that timeframe [1].

What sources decide the outcome?

The stated resolution source is official information from the NWSL, but a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].

Was this helpful?
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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