Snapshot observed 2026-10-20T06:00:05.944Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This event asks whether a listed club will finish as runner-up in the 2026-27 Premier League. A market resolves to "Yes" if that club is determined to be the runner-up for the season, and to "No" otherwise [1].

The rules include several special cases. If a club can no longer finish as runner-up, its market resolves to "No." If several teams are declared second-place finishers, the market resolves in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the event is cancelled, is postponed after July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or no runner-up is declared in that window, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The listed end time is 2027-08-01T03:59:00.000Z [1]. This is a listed close time, not a confirmed resolution date, and the evidence does not show when or whether the season will be decided.

Each club has its own Yes/No contract, so the clubs are not interchangeable bets on one shared price.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-20T06:00:05.944Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-20T08:51:44.594Z [1]. These values describe that observation only. They are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.

Among the 12 included contracts, the Yes prices were: Arsenal 0.215, Manchester City 0.18, Chelsea 0.165, Liverpool 0.115, Manchester United 0.08, Brentford 0.047, Brighton & Hove Albion 0.044, Tottenham Hotspur 0.025, Aston Villa 0.0245, Leeds United 0.008, Sunderland 0.0025, and Fulham 0.0015 [1]. Comparing these figures shows only how the quoted Yes prices rank within this one event at that moment. Differences between contracts do not by themselves signal an arbitrage opportunity.

The sample is partial. The saved event lists 20 markets, and 12 are included [1]. The included markets were selected by descending Yes price, with missing or invalid prices ranked last. The eight omitted contracts are therefore not shown, and this record does not reveal their prices. Do not read the omission as evidence that those clubs were priced lower.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why the quoted prices are at these levels, and it does not report how many traders hold each view. It also contains no current standings, recent news, or announced schedule beyond the listed close time. The provider status was active when recorded [1]. Because the record is a past snapshot, later prices may differ, and the final outcome is not established by the supplied evidence.

References

1. Polymarket: Premier League: 2026-27 Runner-Up. Provider data observed 2026-10-20T06:00:05.944Z.