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What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31? | PredictPedia

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Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

Name: What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
End: 2026-03-01T01:03:39.873Z

Total Volume

$1.02M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.02M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.02M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?	Poly	100%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$1.02M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Rules

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, April 18, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 1, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** Rules

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center in Iran between the time of market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This includes, but is not limited to,"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $734.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.32M
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.56)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 4, 2026): Vol $734.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.1% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

100¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/S8pqUQ" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?"></iframe>

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What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)