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How low will HYPE get in July?

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How low will HYPE get in July?

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Polymarket

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8 markets tracked

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $60.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?

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Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $60.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?	Kalshi	64%
Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $57.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?	Kalshi	52%
Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $55.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?	Kalshi	40%
Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $52.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?	Kalshi	30%
Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $50.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?	Kalshi	22%
Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $45.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?	Kalshi	11%
Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $47.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?	Kalshi	11%
Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $42.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?	Kalshi	7%

AI Analysis

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64%

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About This Event

July If the price of HYPE after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026 is ever below X then the market resolves to Yes. At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF HYPEUSD_RTI price for HYPE. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How low will HYPE get in July?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** July

If the price of HYPE after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026 is ever below X then the market resolves to Yes. At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF HYPEUSD_RTI price for HYPE. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the price of HYPE after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026 is ever below $60.00, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF HYPEUSD_RTI price for HYPE. For each of "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $60.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $57.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $55.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $52.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $50.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $47.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $45.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $42.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHICrypto

How low will HYPE get in July?

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KALSHI

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $60.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 63.5¢No 36.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $60.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?

If the price of HYPE after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026 is ever below $60.00, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF HYPEUSD_RTI price for HYPE. For each of

KALSHI

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $57.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 51.5¢No 48.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $57.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?

If the price of HYPE after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026 is ever below $57.50, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF HYPEUSD_RTI price for HYPE. For each of

KALSHI

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $55.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 40.0¢No 60.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $55.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?

If the price of HYPE after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026 is ever below $55.00, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF HYPEUSD_RTI price for HYPE. For each of

KALSHI

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $52.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 29.5¢No 70.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $52.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?

If the price of HYPE after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026 is ever below $52.50, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF HYPEUSD_RTI price for HYPE. For each of

KALSHI

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $50.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 22.0¢No 78.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $50.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?

If the price of HYPE after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026 is ever below $50.00, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF HYPEUSD_RTI price for HYPE. For each of

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29¢

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How low will HYPE get in July?

How low will HYPE get in July?

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Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $60.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?

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About This Event

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Events (1)

How low will HYPE get in July?

Markets (8)

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $60.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $60.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $57.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $57.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $55.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $55.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $52.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $52.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $50.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $50.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $60.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How low will HYPE get in July?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $60.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $60.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $57.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $57.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $55.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $55.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $52.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $52.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $50.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?

Will HYPE trimmed mean be below $50.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?

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