Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIScience and Technology

Best AI this week

Total Volume

$29.40K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Best AI this week

Vol

$29.40K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $29.40K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $29.40K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Best AI this week (Gemini)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Best AI this week (Gemini)	Kalshi	86%
Best AI this week (Claude)	Kalshi	7%
Best AI this week (MUSE)	Kalshi	6%
Best AI this week (ChatGPT)	Kalshi	2%
Best AI this week (Grok)	Kalshi	1%
Best AI this week (Kimi)	Kalshi	1%
Best AI this week (Dola)	Kalshi	1%
Best AI this week (Amazon Nova)	Kalshi	1%
Best AI this week (Qwen)	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

86%

Top Probability

$29.40K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On Oct 19, 2026 If X has the top-ranked LLM on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If two models are tied under Rank, UB, then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Best AI this week
**Category:** Science and Technology | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Oct 19, 2026

If X has the top-ranked LLM on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If two models are tied under Rank, UB, then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If xAI has the top-ranked LLM on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $29.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Best AI this week (Grok)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 19, 2026): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Best AI this week (ChatGPT)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 19, 2026): Vol $4.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Best AI this week (Kimi)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 19, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Best AI this week (MUSE)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 19, 2026): Vol $6.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Best AI this week (Gemini)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 19, 2026): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 86.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Best AI this week (Dola)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 19, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Best AI this week (Claude)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 19, 2026): Vol $4.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Best AI this week (Amazon Nova)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 19, 2026): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Best AI this week (Qwen)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 19, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIScience and Technology

Best AI this week

Volume$29.40K

Markets9

9 of 9

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KALSHI

Best AI this week (Gemini)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 86.0¢No 14.0¢

KALSHITech

Best AI this week (Gemini)

If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are st

KALSHI

Best AI this week (Claude)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.0¢No 93.0¢

KALSHITech

Best AI this week (Claude)

If Anthropic has the top-ranked LLM on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are

KALSHI

Best AI this week (MUSE)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢

KALSHITech

Best AI this week (MUSE)

If Meta has the top-ranked LLM on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are stil

KALSHI

Best AI this week (ChatGPT)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.0¢No 98.0¢

KALSHITech

Best AI this week (ChatGPT)

If OpenAI has the top-ranked LLM on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are st

KALSHI

Best AI this week (Grok)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHITech

Best AI this week (Grok)

If xAI has the top-ranked LLM on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still

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11¢

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Events (1)

Best AI this week

Markets (9)

Best AI this week (Gemini)

Best AI this week (Gemini)

Best AI this week (Claude)

Best AI this week (Claude)

Best AI this week (MUSE)

Best AI this week (MUSE)

Best AI this week (ChatGPT)

Best AI this week (ChatGPT)

Best AI this week (Grok)

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Best AI this week (Claude)

Best AI this week (Claude)

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