Market snapshot: Oct 23, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Danielle Smith announces departure as Alberta UCP leader?

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K 0 contracts

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Danielle Smith announces departure as Alberta UCP leader?

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Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 23, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 23, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Before Jan 1, 2028 at 50%.

Kalshi

Before Jan 1, 202850%
Before Jul 1, 20270%
Before Jan 1, 20270%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

3 markets tracked

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Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Danielle Smith announce her departure as UCP leader before Jan 1, 2028?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Danielle Smith announce her departure as UCP leader before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	50.0%
Will Danielle Smith announce her departure as UCP leader before Jul 1, 2027?	Kalshi	0.0%
Will Danielle Smith announce her departure as UCP leader before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	0.0%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

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AI Analysis

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K 0 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 23, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Before Jan 1, 2028 If Danielle Smith of the United Conservative Party has resigned or otherwise left their position as leader of their party, or announced that they will do so before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to Yes if the party leader resigns, is removed, or announces they will resign from party leadership. An announcement that the leader will leave within the next year counts even before it takes effect. This includes voluntary resignation, losing a leadership election, being ousted by the party, or any other mechanism that ends their party leadership. X leadership review or special general meeting vote does not by itself resolve the market; it counts only if the leader then resigns, is removed, or it is announced that they will leave. Temporarily stepping aside or taking leave while remaining leader does not qualify. The market is about party leadership positions, not government positions - a leader can resign from government while remaining party leader or vice versa. This market will close and expire early if the leader resigns or announces resignation.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Danielle Smith announces departure as Alberta UCP leader?
Source snapshot: Oct 23, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 0 contracts
Coverage: 3 of 3 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Danielle Smith announce her departure as UCP leader before Jan 1, 2028?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXDANIELLESMITHOUT-28-28JAN01; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdaniellesmithout-28
Observed: Oct 23, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 8, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Danielle Smith of the United Conservative Party has resigned or otherwise left their position as leader of their party, or announced that they will do so before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves to Yes if the party leader resigns, is removed, or announces they will resign from party leadership. An announcement that the leader will leave within the next year counts even before it takes effect. This includes voluntary resignation, losing a leadership election, being ousted by the party, or any other mechanism that ends their party leadership. A leadership review or special general meeting vote does not by itself resolve the market; it counts only if the leader then resigns, is removed, or it is announced that they will leave. Temporarily stepping aside or taking leave while remaining leader does not qualify. The market is about party leadership positions, not government positions - a leader can resign from government while remaining party leader or vice versa. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the leader resigns or announces resignation.

Contract: Will Danielle Smith announce her departure as UCP leader before Jul 1, 2027?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXDANIELLESMITHOUT-28-27JUL01; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdaniellesmithout-28
Observed: Oct 23, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jul 8, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 100.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Danielle Smith of the United Conservative Party has resigned or otherwise left their position as leader of their party, or announced that they will do so before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves to Yes if the party leader resigns, is removed, or announces they will resign from party leadership. An announcement that the leader will leave within the next year counts even before it takes effect. This includes voluntary resignation, losing a leadership election, being ousted by the party, or any other mechanism that ends their party leadership. A leadership review or special general meeting vote does not by itself resolve the market; it counts only if the leader then resigns, is removed, or it is announced that they will leave. Temporarily stepping aside or taking leave while remaining leader does not qualify. The market is about party leadership positions, not government positions - a leader can resign from government while remaining party leader or vice versa. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the leader resigns or announces resignation.

Contract: Will Danielle Smith announce her departure as UCP leader before Jan 1, 2027?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXDANIELLESMITHOUT-28-27JAN01; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdaniellesmithout-28
Observed: Oct 23, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 8, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 100.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Danielle Smith of the United Conservative Party has resigned or otherwise left their position as leader of their party, or announced that they will do so before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves to Yes if the party leader resigns, is removed, or announces they will resign from party leadership. An announcement that the leader will leave within the next year counts even before it takes effect. This includes voluntary resignation, losing a leadership election, being ousted by the party, or any other mechanism that ends their party leadership. A leadership review or special general meeting vote does not by itself resolve the market; it counts only if the leader then resigns, is removed, or it is announced that they will leave. Temporarily stepping aside or taking leave while remaining leader does not qualify. The market is about party leadership positions, not government positions - a leader can resign from government while remaining party leader or vice versa. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the leader resigns or announces resignation.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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