Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

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Event GroupPOLYMARKETScience

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

Name: How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
End: 2027-04-01T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$37.69K

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How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

Vol

$37.69K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $37.69K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $37.69K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	Poly	49%
Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	Poly	24%
Will there be fewer than 20 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	Poly	8%
Will there be 50 or more West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	Poly	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

49%

Top Probability

$37.69K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market resolves based on the total number of West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases (encephalitis, meningitis, and acute flaccid paralysis) reported among New York City residents in 2026, as published by the New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene on its West Nile Virus Reports page at nyc.gov/site/doh/health/health-topics/west-nile-virus-reports.page. Cases are counted as whole numbers, so each outcome covers a distinct range with no overlap or gap. The 2026 count shown on t

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
**Category:** Science | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 1, 2027 (172 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market resolves based on the total number of West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases (encephalitis, meningitis, and acute flaccid paralysis) reported among New York City residents in 2026, as published by the New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene on its West Nile Virus Reports page at nyc.gov/site/doh/health/health-topics/west-nile-virus-reports.page.

Cases are counted as whole numbers, so each outcome covers a distinct range with no overlap or gap.

The 2026 count shown on t

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market resolves based on the total number of West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases (encephalitis, meningitis, and acute flaccid paralysis) reported among New York City residents in 2026, as published by the New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene on its West Nile Virus Reports pag"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $37.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $7.3K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 5.17)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will there be fewer than 20 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $6.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $14.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 23.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.3% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $8.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will there be 50 or more West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $8.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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