Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (October 12)

Name: What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (October 12)
End: 2026-10-19T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$418.94

Events

Markets

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What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (October 12)

Vol

$418.94

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $418.94

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $418.94

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

14 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Will "People" be said 100+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(14)

Market	Platform	Price
Will "People" be said 100+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12?	Poly	91%
Will "Fuck" or "Fucking" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12?	Poly	73%
Will "Shit" be said 5+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12?	Poly	73%
Will "Right" be said 5+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12?	Poly	56%
Will "Elon" or "Musk" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12?	Poly	56%
Will "Alien" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12?	Poly	52%
Will "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12?	Poly	49%
Will "DMT" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12?	Poly	49%
Will "Chimp" or "Monkey" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12?	Poly	43%
Will "Buddy of Mine" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12?	Poly	27%
Will "Bill Gates" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12?	Poly	26%
Will "Dude" be said 20+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12?	Poly	18%
Will "Preposterous" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12?	Poly	14%
Will no Rogan episode air?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

91%

Top Probability

$418.94

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The Joe Rogan Experience podcast releases episodes on https://www.youtube.com/@joerogan. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the first released episode of the Joe Rogan Experience Podcast between October 12, 2026 and October 18, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no such episode of the Joe Rogan Experience Podcast is aired by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (October 12)
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 19, 2026 (6 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** The Joe Rogan Experience podcast releases episodes on https://www.youtube.com/@joerogan.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the first released episode of the Joe Rogan Experience Podcast between October 12, 2026 and October 18, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If no such episode of the Joe Rogan Experience Podcast is aired by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The Joe Rogan Experience podcast releases episodes on https://www.youtube.com/@joerogan.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the first released episode of the Joe Rogan Experience Podcast between October 12, 2026 and October 18, 2026. Otherwise, the ma"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $419
* **Total Liquidity:** $647
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.65)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will "People" be said 100+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $100
  DATA: [Yes: 91.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will "Dude" be said 20+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will "Fuck" or "Fucking" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 72.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will "Shit" be said 5+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 72.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will "Right" be said 5+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $159
  DATA: [Yes: 55.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.4% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will "Buddy of Mine" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will "DMT" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will "Alien" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $25
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will "Chimp" or "Monkey" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will "Elon" or "Musk" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $25
  DATA: [Yes: 55.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will "Bill Gates" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will "Preposterous" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will no Rogan episode air?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $60
  DATA: [Yes: 1.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.7% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture