Will Caedrel Reach Challenger Before the End of the Year?
PM $907.54
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Will Caedrel Reach Challenger Before the End of the Year?
PM $907.54
1
1
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 20, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, Yes is priced at 5.5% on Polymarket.
Polymarket
- Yes5.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve "Yes" if Caedrel reaches the Challenger rank in League of Legends solo/duo ranked queue on any server on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". "Reaching Challenger" means Caedrel's account attains the Challenger tier in the ranked solo/duo queue, as displayed in the official in-game ranked ladder or on his verified account, at any point during the market period. Reaching Challenger in flex queue does not count unless otherwise specified. The account must be one publicly identified as belonging to Caedrel and streamed or otherwise confirmed as his. Reaching Challenger on a smurf or alternate account still counts, provided it is verifiably his and he publicly demonstrates it (e.g., on stream). If Caedrel is confirmed to have reached Challenger at any point in the period — even briefly — this market resolves "Yes". The primary resolution source will be the official League of Legends ranked ladder (via the in-game client or op.gg / official Riot data for his verified account) and Caedrel's official streams or channels; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-17T06:00:06.025Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Polymarket contract asks whether Caedrel will reach the Challenger tier in League of Legends solo/duo ranked queue before the end of 2026. Under the rules, it resolves "Yes" if Caedrel reaches the Challenger rank in League of Legends solo/duo ranked queue on any server on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET [1]. Flex queue does not count unless otherwise specified [1]. A smurf or alternate account counts if it is verifiably his and he publicly demonstrates it, such as on stream [1]. The rules state that if he is confirmed to have reached Challenger "even briefly," the market resolves "Yes" [1].
The rules name the official League of Legends ranked ladder, op.gg or official Riot data for his verified account, and his official streams as primary resolution sources, but they also allow "a consensus of credible reporting" to be used [1]. Readers comparing this contract with others should check these details, since wording on account scope and sources can change what a "Yes" outcome requires.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-17T06:00:06.025Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-17T08:01:46.872Z [1]. The provider lists the market as active, with a listed end time of 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z [1]. That listed time matches the rule's December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET deadline in UTC, but it is a listed close time, not a resolution. The market has not resolved according to the supplied evidence.
The snapshot shows a Yes price of 0.045 and a No price of 0.955 [1]. These are snapshot prices from one observation, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The evidence contains one market for this event, and the coverage record marks the sample as complete, with no partial sample [1]. Because only this one contract is included, no comparison with other outcomes or other platforms is possible from this evidence. The supplied evidence also does not include volume, so it cannot be used to judge liquidity or the number of participants.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the price is where it is, and it does not provide news about Caedrel's ranked progress. It also does not establish his current rank or account activity beyond the contract's own wording. Because the snapshot is a single observation, prices may have changed since it was recorded. Any reader should check the provider page directly before relying on the figures.
References
- Polymarket: Will Caedrel Reach Challenger Before the End of the Year?. Provider data observed 2026-10-17T06:00:06.025Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia contract asks whether Caedrel will reach the Challenger tier in League of Legends ranked solo/duo queue on any server on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET [1]. The contract is listed in the Sports category and was active at the time of the provider observation [1]. Under the rules, a Yes outcome requires that the account attains Challenger at any point during the market period, and even a brief appearance counts [1]. The rules define the qualifying account narrowly. It must be publicly identified as belonging to Caedrel and streamed or otherwise confirmed as his [1]. A smurf or alternate account can count if it is verifiably his and he publicly demonstrates it, for example on stream [1]. Reaching Challenger in the flex queue does not count unless the contract specifies otherwise [1]. The rules name the primary resolution sources as the official League of Legends ranked ladder, accessed through the in-game client or through op.gg or official Riot data for his verified account, together with Caedrel's official streams or channels. The rules also allow a consensus of credible reporting to be used [1]. The listed end time of 2027-01-01T04:59:00Z is the provider's recorded closing time and is not a separate announced event; the operative date is the December 31, 2026 deadline stated in the rules [1].
Historical Context
Los Ratones (LR) was a European professional League of Legends team based in the United Kingdom, founded by former player and caster Marc "Caedrel" Lamont [2]. The team was known for being the first British-based organisation to win EMEA Masters, the highest tier of professional competition in the EMEA region outside of the League of Legends EMEA Championship (LEC) [2]. This background describes the subject's organisational history and does not bear on whether any ranked account reaches Challenger in the contract period.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single, specific achievement: whether a verified Caedrel account reaches the Challenger tier in ranked solo/duo queue before the deadline [1]. Because the rules require public identification and confirmation, the outcome depends on what can be verified through the named ladder data, his official streams, or credible reporting [1]. Traders should read the qualifying account, queue, and deadline rules closely, since a result in flex queue or an unconfirmed account would not satisfy the contract as written [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-17 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Does reaching Challenger in flex queue count?
No, reaching Challenger in flex queue does not count unless otherwise specified in the contract, and the contract does not specify otherwise [1].
Can a smurf or alternate account count?
Yes, a smurf or alternate account counts if it is verifiably Caedrel's and he publicly demonstrates it, such as on stream [1].
How will the contract be resolved?
The primary sources are the official League of Legends ranked ladder, via the in-game client or op.gg or official Riot data for his verified account, and Caedrel's official streams or channels. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].
Does Challenger need to be held at the end of the year?
No. The contract resolves Yes if Caedrel is confirmed to have reached Challenger at any point in the period, even briefly [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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