Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIScience and Technology

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 12, 2026

Total Volume

$37.00

Events

Markets

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Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 12, 2026

Vol

$37.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $37.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $37.00

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 43.9%?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 43.9%?	Kalshi	90%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 48.0%?	Kalshi	88%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 52.7%?	Kalshi	74%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 57.2%?	Kalshi	53%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 61.2%?	Kalshi	44%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 63.7%?	Kalshi	34%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 64.7%?	Kalshi	29%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 67.6%?	Kalshi	20%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 71.1%?	Kalshi	9%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

90%

Top Probability

$37.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Oct 12, 2026 If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume, open weights share, for Oct 12, 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in Vercel AI Gateway's Open vs. Closed Token Volume chart. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 13, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 12, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the prope

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 12, 2026
**Category:** Science and Technology | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Oct 12, 2026

If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume, open weights share, for Oct 12, 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in Vercel AI Gateway's Open vs. Closed Token Volume chart. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 13, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 12, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the prope

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 is above 71.1%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in Vercel AI Gateway's Open vs. Closed Token Volume chart. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 13, 2026, Kalshi will use"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $37
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 71.1%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 67.6%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 64.7%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 63.7%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $14
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 61.2%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $22
  DATA: [Yes: 44.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 57.2%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 52.7%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 73.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 48.0%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 87.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 43.9%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 90.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIScience and Technology

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 12, 2026

Volume$37.00

Markets9

9 of 9

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KALSHI

Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 43.9%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 90.0¢No 10.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 43.9%?

If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 is above 43.9%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in Vercel AI Gateway's Open vs. Closed Token Volume chart. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 13, 2026, Kalshi will use

KALSHI

Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 48.0%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 87.5¢No 12.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 48.0%?

If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 is above 48.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in Vercel AI Gateway's Open vs. Closed Token Volume chart. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 13, 2026, Kalshi will use

KALSHI

Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 52.7%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 73.5¢No 26.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 52.7%?

If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 is above 52.7%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in Vercel AI Gateway's Open vs. Closed Token Volume chart. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 13, 2026, Kalshi will use

KALSHI

Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 57.2%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 53.0¢No 47.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 57.2%?

If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 is above 57.2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in Vercel AI Gateway's Open vs. Closed Token Volume chart. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 13, 2026, Kalshi will use

KALSHI

Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 61.2%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 44.0¢No 56.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 61.2%?

If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 is above 61.2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in Vercel AI Gateway's Open vs. Closed Token Volume chart. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 13, 2026, Kalshi will use

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

49¢

Kalshi

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Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 12, 2026

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 12, 2026

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Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 43.9%?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 12, 2026

Markets (9)

Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 43.9%?

Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 43.9%?

Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 48.0%?

Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 48.0%?

Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 52.7%?

Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 52.7%?

Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 57.2%?

Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 57.2%?

Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 61.2%?

Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 61.2%?

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Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 43.9%?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 12, 2026

Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 43.9%?

Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 43.9%?

Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 48.0%?

Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 48.0%?

Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 52.7%?

Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 52.7%?

Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 57.2%?

Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 57.2%?

Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 61.2%?

Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 12, 2026 be above 61.2%?

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