Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHICrypto

How high will XRP get in 2026?

Total Volume

$197.10K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

How high will XRP get in 2026?

Vol

$197.10K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $197.10K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $197.10K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $2.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will XRP trimmed mean be above $2.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	36%
Will XRP trimmed mean be above $2.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	25%
Will XRP trimmed mean be above $3.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	20%
Will XRP trimmed mean be above $6.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	18%
Will XRP trimmed mean be above $3.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	16%
Will XRP trimmed mean be above $4.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	15%
Will XRP trimmed mean be above $4.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	14%
Will XRP trimmed mean be above $5.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	13%
Will XRP trimmed mean be above $5.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	13%
Will XRP trimmed mean be above $7.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	12%
Will XRP trimmed mean be above $6.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	11%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

36%

Top Probability

$197.10K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2026 If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever above $ X then the market resolves to Yes. At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF XRPUSD_RTI price for XRP. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute d

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How high will XRP get in 2026?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever above $ X then the market resolves to Yes. At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF XRPUSD_RTI price for XRP. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute d

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever above $
7.00, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF XRPUSD_RTI price for XRP. For each of the"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $197.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will XRP trimmed mean be above $7.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $15.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will XRP trimmed mean be above $6.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will XRP trimmed mean be above $6.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $6.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will XRP trimmed mean be above $5.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $8.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will XRP trimmed mean be above $5.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $13.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will XRP trimmed mean be above $4.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $5.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will XRP trimmed mean be above $4.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $10.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will XRP trimmed mean be above $3.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $16.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will XRP trimmed mean be above $3.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $45.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will XRP trimmed mean be above $2.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $21.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will XRP trimmed mean be above $2.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $52.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHICrypto

How high will XRP get in 2026?

Volume$197.10K

Markets11

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KALSHI

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $2.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 35.5¢No 64.5¢

KALSHICrypto

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $2.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever above $ 2.00, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF XRPUSD_RTI price for XRP. For each of the

KALSHI

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $2.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 24.5¢No 75.5¢

KALSHICrypto

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $2.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever above $ 2.50, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF XRPUSD_RTI price for XRP. For each of the

KALSHI

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $3.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 19.5¢No 80.5¢

KALSHICrypto

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $3.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever above $ 3.00, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF XRPUSD_RTI price for XRP. For each of the

KALSHI

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $6.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢

KALSHICrypto

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $6.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever above $ 6.50, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF XRPUSD_RTI price for XRP. For each of the

KALSHI

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $3.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 16.0¢No 84.0¢

KALSHICrypto

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $3.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever above $ 3.50, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF XRPUSD_RTI price for XRP. For each of the

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17¢

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How high will XRP get in 2026?

How high will XRP get in 2026?

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Will XRP trimmed mean be above $2.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

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Events (1)

How high will XRP get in 2026?

Markets (11)

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $2.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $2.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $2.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $2.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $3.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $3.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $6.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $6.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $3.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $3.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

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Will XRP trimmed mean be above $2.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How high will XRP get in 2026?

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $2.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $2.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $2.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $2.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $3.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $3.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $6.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $6.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $3.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $3.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

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