Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 8:51 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHICommodities

Palladium price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET

Total Volume

$1.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Palladium price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET

Vol

$1.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $1.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.00

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

61 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Will the palladium close price be above 1139.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(61)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the palladium close price be above 1139.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	90%
Will the palladium close price be above 1139.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	90%
Will the palladium close price be above 1140.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	84%
Will the palladium close price be above 1140.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	70%
Will the palladium close price be above 1141.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	53%
Will the palladium close price be above 1141.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	32%
Will the palladium close price be above 1142.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	24%
Will the palladium close price be above 1142.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	16%
Will the palladium close price be above 1143.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	13%
Will the palladium close price be above 1143.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	9%
Will the palladium close price be above 1158.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	8%
Will the palladium close price be above 1144.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	8%
Will the palladium close price be above 1150.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	8%
Will the palladium close price be above 1148.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	7%
Will the palladium close price be above 1166.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	7%
Will the palladium close price be above 1146.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	7%
Will the palladium close price be above 1167.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	7%
Will the palladium close price be above 1158.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	7%
Will the palladium close price be above 1157.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	7%
Will the palladium close price be above 1156.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	7%
Will the palladium close price be above 1149.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	7%
Will the palladium close price be above 1145.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	6%
Will the palladium close price be above 1167.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	6%
Will the palladium close price be above 1164.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	6%
Will the palladium close price be above 1163.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	6%
Will the palladium close price be above 1157.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	6%
Will the palladium close price be above 1152.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	6%
Will the palladium close price be above 1146.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	6%
Will the palladium close price be above 1147.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	6%
Will the palladium close price be above 1149.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	6%
Will the palladium close price be above 1168.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	6%
Will the palladium close price be above 1166.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	6%
Will the palladium close price be above 1164.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	6%
Will the palladium close price be above 1163.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	6%
Will the palladium close price be above 1156.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	6%
Will the palladium close price be above 1154.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	6%
Will the palladium close price be above 1153.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	6%
Will the palladium close price be above 1153.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	6%
Will the palladium close price be above 1144.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	5%
Will the palladium close price be above 1162.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	5%
Will the palladium close price be above 1161.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	5%
Will the palladium close price be above 1160.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	5%
Will the palladium close price be above 1159.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	5%
Will the palladium close price be above 1155.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	5%
Will the palladium close price be above 1155.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	5%
Will the palladium close price be above 1154.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	5%
Will the palladium close price be above 1152.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	5%
Will the palladium close price be above 1151.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	5%
Will the palladium close price be above 1151.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	5%
Will the palladium close price be above 1150.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	5%
Will the palladium close price be above 1145.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	5%
Will the palladium close price be above 1147.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	5%
Will the palladium close price be above 1148.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	5%
Will the palladium close price be above 1169.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	5%
Will the palladium close price be above 1168.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	5%
Will the palladium close price be above 1165.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	5%
Will the palladium close price be above 1165.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	5%
Will the palladium close price be above 1162.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	5%
Will the palladium close price be above 1161.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	5%
Will the palladium close price be above 1160.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	5%
Will the palladium close price be above 1159.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

90%

Top Probability

$1.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above X USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Palladium price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
**Category:** Commodities | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above X USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 1139.49 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price fo"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the palladium close price be above 1139.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 89.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the palladium close price be above 1139.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 89.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the palladium close price be above 1140.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 83.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 16.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the palladium close price be above 1140.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 70.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the palladium close price be above 1141.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the palladium close price be above 1141.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the palladium close price be above 1142.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the palladium close price be above 1142.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the palladium close price be above 1143.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the palladium close price be above 1143.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the palladium close price be above 1144.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the palladium close price be above 1144.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will the palladium close price be above 1145.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will the palladium close price be above 1145.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will the palladium close price be above 1146.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will the palladium close price be above 1146.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will the palladium close price be above 1147.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will the palladium close price be above 1147.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will the palladium close price be above 1148.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will the palladium close price be above 1148.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will the palladium close price be above 1149.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will the palladium close price be above 1169.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will the palladium close price be above 1168.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will the palladium close price be above 1168.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will the palladium close price be above 1167.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will the palladium close price be above 1167.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will the palladium close price be above 1166.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will the palladium close price be above 1166.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will the palladium close price be above 1165.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will the palladium close price be above 1165.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will the palladium close price be above 1164.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will the palladium close price be above 1164.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will the palladium close price be above 1163.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will the palladium close price be above 1163.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will the palladium close price be above 1162.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 36. Will the palladium close price be above 1162.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 37. Will the palladium close price be above 1161.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 38. Will the palladium close price be above 1161.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 39. Will the palladium close price be above 1160.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 40. Will the palladium close price be above 1160.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 41. Will the palladium close price be above 1159.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 42. Will the palladium close price be above 1159.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 43. Will the palladium close price be above 1158.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 44. Will the palladium close price be above 1158.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 45. Will the palladium close price be above 1157.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 46. Will the palladium close price be above 1157.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 47. Will the palladium close price be above 1156.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 48. Will the palladium close price be above 1156.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 49. Will the palladium close price be above 1155.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 50. Will the palladium close price be above 1155.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 51. Will the palladium close price be above 1154.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 52. Will the palladium close price be above 1154.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 53. Will the palladium close price be above 1153.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 54. Will the palladium close price be above 1153.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 55. Will the palladium close price be above 1152.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 56. Will the palladium close price be above 1152.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 57. Will the palladium close price be above 1151.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 58. Will the palladium close price be above 1151.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 59. Will the palladium close price be above 1150.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 60. Will the palladium close price be above 1150.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 61. Will the palladium close price be above 1149.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHICommodities

Palladium price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET

Volume$1.00

Markets61

61 of 61

Sort:

KALSHI

Will the palladium close price be above 1139.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 89.5¢No 10.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will the palladium close price be above 1139.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 1139.49 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price fo

KALSHI

Will the palladium close price be above 1139.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 89.5¢No 10.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will the palladium close price be above 1139.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 1139.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price fo

KALSHI

Will the palladium close price be above 1140.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 83.5¢No 16.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will the palladium close price be above 1140.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 1140.49 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price fo

KALSHI

Will the palladium close price be above 1140.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 70.0¢No 30.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will the palladium close price be above 1140.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 1140.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price fo

KALSHI

Will the palladium close price be above 1141.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 52.5¢No 47.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will the palladium close price be above 1141.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for palladium on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 1141.49 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price fo

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

12¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/SRdnK4" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Palladium price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Palladium price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET

Palladium price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the palladium close price be above 1139.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Palladium price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET

Markets (61)

Will the palladium close price be above 1139.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?

Will the palladium close price be above 1139.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?

Will the palladium close price be above 1139.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?

Will the palladium close price be above 1139.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?

Will the palladium close price be above 1140.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?

Will the palladium close price be above 1140.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?

Will the palladium close price be above 1140.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?

Will the palladium close price be above 1140.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?

Will the palladium close price be above 1141.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?

Will the palladium close price be above 1141.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the palladium close price be above 1139.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Palladium price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET

Will the palladium close price be above 1139.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?

Will the palladium close price be above 1139.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?

Will the palladium close price be above 1139.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?

Will the palladium close price be above 1139.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?

Will the palladium close price be above 1140.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?

Will the palladium close price be above 1140.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?

Will the palladium close price be above 1140.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?

Will the palladium close price be above 1140.99 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?

Will the palladium close price be above 1141.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?

Will the palladium close price be above 1141.49 USD/ounce on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget