Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Leeds United vs Manchester United: Spread

Total Volume

$511.00

Events

Markets

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Leeds United vs Manchester United: Spread

Vol

$511.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $511.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $511.00

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Leeds United wins by more than 1.5 goals?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Leeds United wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	18%
Manchester United wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	16%
Leeds United wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	7%
Manchester United wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

18%

Top Probability

$511.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

LEE vs MUN (Oct 18) If Manchester United wins by more than X goals in the Leeds United vs Manchester United professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Thi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Leeds United vs Manchester United: Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** LEE vs MUN (Oct 18)

If Manchester United wins by more than X goals in the Leeds United vs Manchester United professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Thi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Manchester United wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Leeds United vs Manchester United professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $511
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Manchester United wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $511
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Manchester United wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Leeds United wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Leeds United wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Leeds United vs Manchester United: Spread

Volume$511.00

Markets4

4 of 4

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KALSHI

Leeds United wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢

KALSHISports

Leeds United wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If Leeds United wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Leeds United vs Manchester United professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affi

KALSHI

Manchester United wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 16.5¢No 83.5¢

KALSHISports

Manchester United wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If Manchester United wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Leeds United vs Manchester United professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not

KALSHI

Leeds United wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢

KALSHISports

Leeds United wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If Leeds United wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Leeds United vs Manchester United professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affi

KALSHI

Manchester United wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢

KALSHISports

Manchester United wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If Manchester United wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Leeds United vs Manchester United professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not

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12¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/SS9hL0" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Leeds United vs Manchester United: Spread"></iframe>

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Leeds United vs Manchester United: Spread

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Leeds United wins by more than 1.5 goals?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Leeds United vs Manchester United: Spread

Markets (4)

Leeds United wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Leeds United wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Manchester United wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Manchester United wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Leeds United wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Leeds United wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Manchester United wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Manchester United wins by more than 2.5 goals?

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Leeds United wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Leeds United vs Manchester United: Spread

Leeds United wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Leeds United wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Manchester United wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Manchester United wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Leeds United wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Leeds United wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Manchester United wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Manchester United wins by more than 2.5 goals?

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