GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIClimate and Weather

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 10, 2026?

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Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 10, 2026?

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$0.00

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

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6 markets tracked

Will the minimum temperature be >91° on Jul 10, 2026?

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Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the minimum temperature be >91° on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	47%
Will the minimum temperature be 90-91° on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	43%
Will the minimum temperature be 88-89° on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	6%
Will the minimum temperature be 86-87° on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will the minimum temperature be <84° on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	2%
Will the minimum temperature be 84-85° on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

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47%

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About This Event

On Jul 10, 2026 If the minimum temperature recorded at Phoenix for Jul 10, 2026, is X than Y fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report, Daily, then the market resolves to Yes. Data for CLIPHX can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=psr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Phoenix, AZ" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, k

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 10, 2026?
**Category:** Climate and Weather | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Jul 10, 2026

If the minimum temperature recorded at Phoenix for Jul 10, 2026, is X than Y fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report, Daily, then the market resolves to Yes. Data for CLIPHX can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=psr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Phoenix, AZ" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, k

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the minimum temperature recorded at Phoenix for Jul 10, 2026, is greater than 91° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Data for CLIPHX can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the minimum temperature be >91° on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the minimum temperature be <84° on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the minimum temperature be 90-91° on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the minimum temperature be 88-89° on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the minimum temperature be 86-87° on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the minimum temperature be 84-85° on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIClimate and Weather

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 10, 2026?

Volume$0.00

Markets6

6 of 6

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KALSHI

Will the minimum temperature be >91° on Jul 10, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 46.5¢No 53.5¢

KALSHIClimate

CLOSING SOON

Will the minimum temperature be >91° on Jul 10, 2026?

If the minimum temperature recorded at Phoenix for Jul 10, 2026, is greater than 91° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Data for CLIPHX can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather

KALSHI

Will the minimum temperature be 90-91° on Jul 10, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 42.5¢No 57.5¢

KALSHIClimate

CLOSING SOON

Will the minimum temperature be 90-91° on Jul 10, 2026?

If the minimum temperature recorded at Phoenix for Jul 10, 2026, is between 90-91° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Data for CLIPHX can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.g

KALSHI

Will the minimum temperature be 88-89° on Jul 10, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHIClimate

CLOSING SOON

Will the minimum temperature be 88-89° on Jul 10, 2026?

If the minimum temperature recorded at Phoenix for Jul 10, 2026, is between 88-89° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Data for CLIPHX can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.g

KALSHI

Will the minimum temperature be 86-87° on Jul 10, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.5¢No 97.5¢

KALSHIClimate

CLOSING SOON

Will the minimum temperature be 86-87° on Jul 10, 2026?

If the minimum temperature recorded at Phoenix for Jul 10, 2026, is between 86-87° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Data for CLIPHX can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.g

KALSHI

Will the minimum temperature be <84° on Jul 10, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.0¢No 98.0¢

KALSHIClimate

CLOSING SOON

Will the minimum temperature be <84° on Jul 10, 2026?

If the minimum temperature recorded at Phoenix for Jul 10, 2026, is less than 84° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Data for CLIPHX can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.go

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Will the minimum temperature be >91° on Jul 10, 2026?

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Events (1)

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 10, 2026?

Markets (6)

Will the minimum temperature be >91° on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be >91° on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 90-91° on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 90-91° on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 88-89° on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 88-89° on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 86-87° on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 86-87° on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be <84° on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be <84° on Jul 10, 2026?

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Will the minimum temperature be >91° on Jul 10, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be >91° on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be >91° on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 90-91° on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 90-91° on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 88-89° on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 88-89° on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 86-87° on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 86-87° on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be <84° on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be <84° on Jul 10, 2026?

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