Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Catania: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin

Name: Catania: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin
End: 2026-10-20T08:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$105.92

Events

Markets

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Catania: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin

Vol

$105.92

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $105.92

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $105.92

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Set Handicap: Pavel Lagutin (-1.5) vs Michael Geerts (+1.5)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Set Handicap: Pavel Lagutin (-1.5) vs Michael Geerts (+1.5)	Poly	56%
Catania: Completed Match: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin	Poly	51%
Set 2 Winner: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin	Poly	50%
Geerts vs. Lagutin: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	50%
Geerts vs. Lagutin: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Geerts vs. Lagutin: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Geerts vs. Lagutin: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Geerts vs. Lagutin: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Game Spread: Pavel Lagutin (-5.5) vs Michael Geerts (+5.5)	Poly	45%
Geerts vs. Lagutin: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	41%
Geerts vs. Lagutin: Match Over/Under 21.5	Poly	40%
Geerts vs. Lagutin: Match Over/Under 22.5	Poly	39%
Michael Geerts vs. Pavel Lagutin: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Poly	38%
Set 1 Winner: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin	Poly	36%
Geerts vs. Lagutin: Match Over/Under 23.5	Poly	31%
Catania: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin	Poly	26%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

56%

Top Probability

$105.92

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Geerts and Pavel Lagutin in the Catania, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Geerts' if Michael Geerts advances against Pavel Lagutin. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Lagutin' if Pavel Lagutin advances against Michael Geerts. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the schedul

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Catania: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 20, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Geerts and Pavel Lagutin in the Catania, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Michael Geerts' if Michael Geerts advances against Pavel Lagutin.

This market will resolve to 'Pavel Lagutin' if Pavel Lagutin advances against Michael Geerts.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the schedul

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Geerts and Pavel Lagutin in the Catania, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Michael Geerts' if Michael Geerts advances against Pavel Lagutin.

This market will resolve to 'Pavel Lagutin' if Pave"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $106
* **Total Liquidity:** $8.4K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Catania: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $106
  DATA: [Michael Geerts: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [Pavel Lagutin: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Catania: Completed Match: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set 1 Winner: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Michael Geerts: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [Pavel Lagutin: 64.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Set 2 Winner: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Michael Geerts: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Pavel Lagutin: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Michael Geerts vs. Pavel Lagutin: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Geerts vs. Lagutin: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Geerts vs. Lagutin: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Geerts vs. Lagutin: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Geerts vs. Lagutin: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Geerts vs. Lagutin: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Geerts vs. Lagutin: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Geerts vs. Lagutin: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Geerts vs. Lagutin: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 39.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 61.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Geerts vs. Lagutin: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 31.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 69.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Set Handicap: Pavel Lagutin (-1.5) vs Michael Geerts (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Pavel Lagutin: 56.0% (0.0%)] | [Michael Geerts: 44.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game Spread: Pavel Lagutin (-5.5) vs Michael Geerts (+5.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Pavel Lagutin: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [Michael Geerts: 55.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Catania: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin

Volume$105.92

Markets16

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POLYMARKET

Catania: Completed Match: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Catania: Completed Match: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin

POLYMARKET

Catania: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Catania: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin

POLYMARKET

Set 1 Winner: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 1 Winner: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin

POLYMARKET

Set 2 Winner: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 2 Winner: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin

POLYMARKET

Michael Geerts vs. Pavel Lagutin: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Michael Geerts vs. Pavel Lagutin: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Geerts and Pavel Lagutin in the Catania, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and to "Under" othe

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Oct 20, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

43¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/S_VfVT" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Catania: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin"></iframe>

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Catania: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin

Catania: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin

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Set Handicap: Pavel Lagutin (-1.5) vs Michael Geerts (+1.5)

AI Analysis

About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Catania: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin

Markets (16)

Catania: Completed Match: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin

Catania: Completed Match: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin

Catania: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin

Catania: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin

Set 1 Winner: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin

Set 1 Winner: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin

Set 2 Winner: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin

Set 2 Winner: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin

Michael Geerts vs. Pavel Lagutin: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Michael Geerts vs. Pavel Lagutin: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Set Handicap: Pavel Lagutin (-1.5) vs Michael Geerts (+1.5)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Catania: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin

Catania: Completed Match: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin

Catania: Completed Match: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin

Catania: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin

Catania: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin

Set 1 Winner: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin

Set 1 Winner: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin

Set 2 Winner: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin

Set 2 Winner: Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin

Michael Geerts vs. Pavel Lagutin: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Michael Geerts vs. Pavel Lagutin: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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