Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran before Jan 1, 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	18%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

18%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Before 2027 If the United States has announced the opening of an embassy or consulate of the United States of America in Iran after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The embassy/consulate must be opened or have a specific date on which it will be opened to be encompassed by the Payout Criterion. It also includes an embassy being re-opened after suspending operations. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, April 18, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before 2027

If the United States has announced the opening of an embassy or consulate of the United States of America in Iran after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The embassy/consulate must be opened or have a specific date on which it will be opened to be encompassed by the Payout Criterion. It also includes an embassy being re-opened after suspending operations. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the United States has announced the opening of an embassy or consulate of the United States of America in Iran after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The embassy/consulate must be opened or have a specific date on which it will be opened to be enc"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

18¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Sb7Mue" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran before Jan 1, 2027?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)