GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

Next James Bond actor?

Name: Next James Bond actor?
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$635.11K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Next James Bond actor?

Vol

$635.11K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $635.11K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $635.11K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

24 markets tracked

No one announced as next James Bond?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(24)

Market	Platform	Price
No one announced as next James Bond?	Poly	25%
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Poly	17%
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Poly	13%
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?	Poly	13%
Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond?	Poly	5%
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?	Poly	4%
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?	Poly	3%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?	Poly	3%
Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?	Poly	1%
Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?	Poly	1%
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?	Poly	1%
Tom Francis announced as next James Bond?	Poly	1%
Theo James announced as next James Bond?	Poly	0%
Tom Blyth announced as next James Bond?	Poly	0%
James Norton announced as next James Bond?	Poly	0%
Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?	Poly	0%
Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?	Poly	0%
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	Poly	0%
James Collier announced as next James Bond?	Poly	0%
Timothee Chalamet announced as next James Bond?	Poly	0%
Michael B Jordan announced as next James Bond?	Poly	0%
Richard Madden announced as next James Bond?	Poly	0%
Nicholas Galitzine announced as next James Bond?	Poly	0%
Jonathan Bailey announced as next James Bond?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

25%

Top Probability

$635.11K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be o

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Next James Bond actor?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 31, 2026 (117 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be o

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $635.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $233.9K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.71)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $16.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 2. James Norton announced as next James Bond?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $8.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 3. Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 4. Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $9.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.8% (0.0%)]

### 5. Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $8.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 6. Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $5.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 7. Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $5.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 8. Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $4.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 9. Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 10. Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $52.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $107.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.3% (0.0%)]

### 12. Theo James announced as next James Bond?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $22.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 13. James Collier announced as next James Bond?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $3.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 14. Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $6.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 15. Timothee Chalamet announced as next James Bond?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 16. Michael B Jordan announced as next James Bond?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 17. Nicholas Galitzine announced as next James Bond?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 18. Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $24.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.4% (0.0%)]

### 19. Jonathan Bailey announced as next James Bond?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 20. Tom Francis announced as next James Bond?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $4.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 21. Richard Madden announced as next James Bond?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 22. Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $13.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.3% (0.0%)]

### 23. Tom Blyth announced as next James Bond?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 24. No one announced as next James Bond?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $315.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 25.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture