Name: UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)
End: 2026-03-29T03:59:59.999Z

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UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | PredictPedia

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Over/Under 1.5 Rounds

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Over/Under 1.5 Rounds	Poly	89%
Over/Under 0.5 Rounds	Poly	86%
Over/Under 2.5 Rounds	Poly	81%
Fight to Go the Distance?	Poly	79%
UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Poly	37%
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Poly	23%
Will the fight be won by submission?	Poly	22%
Will Maycee Barber win by KO or TKO?	Poly	9%
Will Alexa Grasso win by KO or TKO?	Poly	1%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, May 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 29, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Alexa Grasso" if Alexa Grasso is officially declared the winner of the fight against Maycee Barber at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026.

It will resolve to "Maycee Barber" if Maycee Barber is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be off

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Maycee Barber defeats Alexa Grasso at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If the fight ends in a draw or by disquali"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $89.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $134.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.66)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Maycee Barber win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $58
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the fight be won by submission?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Over/Under 0.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Over: 86.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 14.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Over/Under 1.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Over: 89.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 11.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $83.7K
  DATA: [Alexa Grasso: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [Maycee Barber: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Fight to Go the Distance?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 79.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 21.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Alexa Grasso win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 8. Over/Under 2.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $338
  DATA: [Over: 80.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 19.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

47¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/SebHym" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)"></iframe>

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UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)

UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)

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Educational Context

Events (1)

UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)

Markets (9)

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will Maycee Barber win by KO or TKO?

Will Maycee Barber win by KO or TKO?

Will Alexa Grasso win by KO or TKO?

Will Alexa Grasso win by KO or TKO?

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Over/Under 1.5 Rounds

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will Maycee Barber win by KO or TKO?

Will Maycee Barber win by KO or TKO?

Will Alexa Grasso win by KO or TKO?

Will Alexa Grasso win by KO or TKO?

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Discussion

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