Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Buffalo vs Los Angeles R: Passing Touchdowns (Protected)

Total Volume

$3.65

Events

Markets

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Buffalo vs Los Angeles R: Passing Touchdowns (Protected)

Vol

$3.65

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $3.65

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.65

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Matthew Stafford: 1+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Matthew Stafford: 1+ passing touchdowns (Protected)	Kalshi	91%
Matthew Stafford: 2+ passing touchdowns (Protected)	Kalshi	68%
Josh Allen: 2+ passing touchdowns (Protected)	Kalshi	50%
Matthew Stafford: 3+ passing touchdowns (Protected)	Kalshi	43%
Matthew Stafford: 4+ passing touchdowns (Protected)	Kalshi	12%
Matthew Stafford: 5+ passing touchdowns (Protected)	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

91%

Top Probability

$3.65

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

BUF vs LAR (Oct 12) If Matthew Stafford records X passing touchdowns in the Buffalo vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This Contract is designated as protected. If the individual player participates in at least one play during the first half of the game but does not participate in any play after the conclusion of the first half, including any overtime period, this Contract resolves to the fair price prior to the opening kic

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Buffalo vs Los Angeles R: Passing Touchdowns (Protected)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** BUF vs LAR (Oct 12)

If Matthew Stafford records X passing touchdowns in the Buffalo vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This Contract is designated as protected. If the individual player participates in at least one play during the first half of the game but does not participate in any play after the conclusion of the first half, including any overtime period, this Contract resolves to the fair price prior to the opening kic

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Matthew Stafford records 5+ passing touchdowns in the Buffalo vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This Contract is designated as protected. If the individual player participates in at least one play during the"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $4
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Matthew Stafford: 5+ passing touchdowns (Protected)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Matthew Stafford: 4+ passing touchdowns (Protected)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Matthew Stafford: 3+ passing touchdowns (Protected)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Matthew Stafford: 2+ passing touchdowns (Protected)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 67.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Matthew Stafford: 1+ passing touchdowns (Protected)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 91.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Josh Allen: 2+ passing touchdowns (Protected)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $4
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Buffalo vs Los Angeles R: Passing Touchdowns (Protected)

Volume$3.65

Markets6

6 of 6

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KALSHI

Matthew Stafford: 1+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 91.0¢No 9.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Matthew Stafford: 1+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

If Matthew Stafford records 1+ passing touchdowns in the Buffalo vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This Contract is designated as protected. If the individual player participates in at least one play during the

KALSHI

Matthew Stafford: 2+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 67.5¢No 32.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Matthew Stafford: 2+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

If Matthew Stafford records 2+ passing touchdowns in the Buffalo vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This Contract is designated as protected. If the individual player participates in at least one play during the

KALSHI

Josh Allen: 2+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Josh Allen: 2+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

If Josh Allen records 2+ passing touchdowns in the Buffalo vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This Contract is designated as protected. If the individual player participates in at least one play during the first

KALSHI

Matthew Stafford: 3+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 42.5¢No 57.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Matthew Stafford: 3+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

If Matthew Stafford records 3+ passing touchdowns in the Buffalo vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This Contract is designated as protected. If the individual player participates in at least one play during the

KALSHI

Matthew Stafford: 4+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.0¢No 88.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Matthew Stafford: 4+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

If Matthew Stafford records 4+ passing touchdowns in the Buffalo vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This Contract is designated as protected. If the individual player participates in at least one play during the

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Average Yes Price

45¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Sg1kOe" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Buffalo vs Los Angeles R: Passing Touchdowns (Protected)"></iframe>

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Buffalo vs Los Angeles R: Passing Touchdowns (Protected)

Buffalo vs Los Angeles R: Passing Touchdowns (Protected)

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Matthew Stafford: 1+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Buffalo vs Los Angeles R: Passing Touchdowns (Protected)

Markets (6)

Matthew Stafford: 1+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

Matthew Stafford: 1+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

Matthew Stafford: 2+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

Matthew Stafford: 2+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

Josh Allen: 2+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

Josh Allen: 2+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

Matthew Stafford: 3+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

Matthew Stafford: 3+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

Matthew Stafford: 4+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

Matthew Stafford: 4+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

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Matthew Stafford: 1+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Buffalo vs Los Angeles R: Passing Touchdowns (Protected)

Matthew Stafford: 1+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

Matthew Stafford: 1+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

Matthew Stafford: 2+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

Matthew Stafford: 2+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

Josh Allen: 2+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

Josh Allen: 2+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

Matthew Stafford: 3+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

Matthew Stafford: 3+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

Matthew Stafford: 4+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

Matthew Stafford: 4+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

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