Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Brazil unemployment rate in September

Total Volume

$1.61K

Events

Markets

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Brazil unemployment rate in September

Vol

$1.61K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $1.61K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.61K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.2%)

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Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.2%)	Kalshi	70%
Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.8%)	Kalshi	64%
Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.9%)	Kalshi	63%
Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.0%)	Kalshi	59%
Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.1%)	Kalshi	51%
Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.3%)	Kalshi	26%
Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.7%)	Kalshi	11%
Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.4%)	Kalshi	11%
Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.6%)	Kalshi	9%
Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.5%)	Kalshi	8%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

70%

Top Probability

$1.61K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Brazil UE Oct 2026 If the Brazil unemployment rate is above X in the rolling quarter ended in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Brazil unemployment rate in September
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Brazil UE Oct 2026

If the Brazil unemployment rate is above X in the rolling quarter ended in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Brazil unemployment rate is above 5.7% in the rolling quarter ended in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.7%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.6%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 6, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.5%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 6, 2026): Vol $381
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.4%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 6, 2026): Vol $458
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.3%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 6, 2026): Vol $420
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.2%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 6, 2026): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 69.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.1%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 6, 2026): Vol $100
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.0%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 59.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.9%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 63.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.8%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Brazil unemployment rate in September

Volume$1.61K

Markets10

10 of 10

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KALSHI

Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.2%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 69.5¢No 30.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.2%)

If the Brazil unemployment rate is above 5.2% in the rolling quarter ended in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.8%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 63.5¢No 36.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.8%)

If the Brazil unemployment rate is above 4.8% in the rolling quarter ended in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.9%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 63.0¢No 37.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.9%)

If the Brazil unemployment rate is above 4.9% in the rolling quarter ended in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.0%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 59.0¢No 41.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.0%)

If the Brazil unemployment rate is above 5.0% in the rolling quarter ended in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.1%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.1%)

If the Brazil unemployment rate is above 5.1% in the rolling quarter ended in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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37¢

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Brazil unemployment rate in September

Brazil unemployment rate in September

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Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.2%)

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Events (1)

Brazil unemployment rate in September

Markets (10)

Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.2%)

Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.2%)

Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.8%)

Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.8%)

Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.9%)

Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.9%)

Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.0%)

Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.0%)

Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.1%)

Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.1%)

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Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.2%)

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Brazil unemployment rate in September

Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.2%)

Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.2%)

Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.8%)

Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.8%)

Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.9%)

Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.9%)

Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.0%)

Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.0%)

Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.1%)

Brazil unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.1%)

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