Name: Highest temperature in Miami on April 19?
End: 2026-04-19T12:00:00.000Z

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Highest temperature in Miami on April 19? | PredictPedia

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Polymarket

markets · $2.92K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.92K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 19?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 19?	Poly	39%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 19?	Poly	22%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 19?	Poly	20%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 19?	Poly	10%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 19?	Poly	5%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on April 19?	Poly	2%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on April 19?	Poly	2%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 94°F or higher on April 19?	Poly	2%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 19?	Poly	1%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 19?	Poly	0%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on April 19?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

39%

Top Probability

$2.92K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahr

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, April 17, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Highest temperature in Miami on April 19?
**Category:** Climate | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 19, 2026 (2 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.

To toggle between Fahr

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $18.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.16)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on April 19?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 19, 2026): Vol $731
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 19?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 19, 2026): Vol $553
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 19?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 19, 2026): Vol $615
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 19?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 19, 2026): Vol $159
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 19?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 19, 2026): Vol $246
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 19?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 19, 2026): Vol $92
  DATA: [Yes: 39.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 19?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 19, 2026): Vol $52
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 19?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 19, 2026): Vol $216
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on April 19?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 19, 2026): Vol $85
  DATA: [Yes: 2.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.8% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on April 19?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 19, 2026): Vol $73
  DATA: [Yes: 2.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.8% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the highest temperature in Miami be 94°F or higher on April 19?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 19, 2026): Vol $101
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.3% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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