Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

NCAA Football: 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader

Name: NCAA Football: 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader
End: 2027-01-04T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$10.34K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

NCAA Football: 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader

Vol

$10.34K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $10.34K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $10.34K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

18 markets tracked

Will Julian Sayin be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(18)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Julian Sayin be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?	Poly	13%
Will Jayden Maiava be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?	Poly	7%
Will Arch Manning be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?	Poly	5%
Will Brendan Sorsby be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?	Poly	5%
Will CJ Carr be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?	Poly	4%
Will Noah Fifita be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?	Poly	4%
Will Bryce Underwood be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?	Poly	4%
Will LaNorris Sellers be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?	Poly	4%
Will Dante Moore be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?	Poly	4%
Will Gunner Stockton be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?	Poly	3%
Will Darian Mensah be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?	Poly	3%
Will Bear Bachmeier be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?	Poly	3%
Will Sam Leavitt be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?	Poly	2%
Will Josh Hoover be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?	Poly	2%
Will Devon Dampier be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?	Poly	1%
Will Drew Mestemaker be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?	Poly	1%
Will Demond Williams be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?	Poly	1%
Will Trinidad Chambliss be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

13%

Top Probability

$10.34K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the most passing yards. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more passing touchdowns during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher passing yards per attempt. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** NCAA Football: 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 4, 2027 (85 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the most passing yards.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more passing touchdowns during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher passing yards per attempt. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the most passing yards.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more passing touchdowns during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this mark"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $10.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $4.2K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.46)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Drew Mestemaker be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 4, 2027): Vol $101
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Sam Leavitt be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 4, 2027): Vol $397
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.9% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will LaNorris Sellers be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 4, 2027): Vol $272
  DATA: [Yes: 3.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.4% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Demond Williams be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 4, 2027): Vol $416
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Noah Fifita be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 4, 2027): Vol $201
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Bryce Underwood be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 4, 2027): Vol $351
  DATA: [Yes: 3.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.2% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Devon Dampier be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 4, 2027): Vol $598
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Bear Bachmeier be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 4, 2027): Vol $441
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Brendan Sorsby be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 4, 2027): Vol $717
  DATA: [Yes: 4.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.4% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Jayden Maiava be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 4, 2027): Vol $216
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Josh Hoover be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 4, 2027): Vol $440
  DATA: [Yes: 1.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Gunner Stockton be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 4, 2027): Vol $256
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Darian Mensah be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 4, 2027): Vol $310
  DATA: [Yes: 3.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.7% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Trinidad Chambliss be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 4, 2027): Vol $4.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will CJ Carr be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 4, 2027): Vol $257
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.7% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Dante Moore be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 4, 2027): Vol $407
  DATA: [Yes: 3.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.4% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Julian Sayin be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 4, 2027): Vol $27
  DATA: [Yes: 12.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.4% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Arch Manning be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 4, 2027): Vol $485
  DATA: [Yes: 5.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.6% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports