Worlds 2026 Winning Region
PM $1.98M · K 151.5K contracts
2
5
Worlds 2026 Winning Region
PM $1.98M · K 151.5K contracts
2
5
Polymarket vs Kalshi
Snapshot from
As of Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, LCK is priced at 80.5% on Polymarket and 80.5% on Kalshi.
| Outcome (Yes price) | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| LCKSame question, fine print differs | 80.5% | 80.5% | 0.0 pts |
| LPLSame question, fine print differs | 20% | 19.5% | 0.5 pts |
Yes prices for outcomes an automated review found to ask the same question on both platforms. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $1.98M · K 151.5K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
5
Saved contracts
2
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
League of Legends Worlds If X is the 2026 League of Legends Worlds champion's region, then the market resolves to Yes. Region means the regional league represented by the team officially declared the 2026 League of Legends World Championship champion, as designated by Riot Games for that team's entry into Worlds 2026. It is not determined by individual players' nationalities or the team's ownership or headquarters. The regional leagues are LCK, Korea, LPL, China, LEC, EMEA, LCS, North America, LCP, Asia-Pacific, and CBLOL, Brazil. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Riot Games. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-06T06:00:06.516Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The rules say the market "will resolve according to the region or country of the esports team winning 1st place in the League of Legends 2026 Season World Championship (Worlds 2026)" [1]. The region is counted through six listed leagues: LCK (South Korea), LPL (China), LEC (Europe / EMEA), LCP (Asia-Pacific), LCS (North America), and CBLOL (Brazil) [1].
The resolution rule has a fallback. If the winner is not determined by December 31, 2026 ET, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The resolution source is official information from Fandom [1]. The listed end time is 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z [1]. That is a listed close time in the provider data, not a stated event date for the tournament.
Each saved contract is a separate yes or no question. For example, "Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?" is a different contract from the LPL and LEC questions, even though they belong to the same event [1].
Reading the snapshot
The saved provider observation was taken at 2026-11-06T06:00:06.516Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-11-06T06:37:31.251Z [1]. These values describe the saved record only. They do not show live prices now.
The three saved Yes prices were 0.685 for LCK, 0.305 for LPL, and 0.0085 for LEC [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The LCK Yes price is higher than the LPL Yes price in this record, and the LEC price is much lower than both. The data does not explain why those levels occurred.
The three markets come from one provider event, and the record reports that all three saved markets were included [1]. The sample does not show the full field, though. The source lists six regions, but only LCK, LPL, and LEC appear in the saved markets [1]. The record also notes that the sample "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Because LCP, LCS, and CBLOL have no saved prices here, the snapshot says nothing about their prices. Do not treat them as lower-priced or as implied by the other numbers.
Do not compare these prices with contracts from other platforms or other events without checking that the wording and close times match.
What remains uncertain
This record does not show current trading, trader counts, trading volume, or liquidity. Volume is not liquidity and does not show how many people traded. The record also does not provide current standings, match results, or the tournament schedule.
Resolution depends on the official Worlds 2026 result as sourced from Fandom, and the record does not confirm that result [1]. Because the listed end time and the December 31 ET fallback differ in time zone and date handling, readers should check the platform's final terms before relying on the outcome of an edge case [1].
References
- Polymarket: Worlds 2026 Winning Region. Provider data observed 2026-11-06T06:00:06.516Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 6, 2026 UTCOverview
The Polymarket event "Worlds 2026 Winning Region" is tied to the League of Legends 2026 Season World Championship, referred to in its rules as Worlds 2026 [1]. The contract asks which region or country the winning team comes from, not which specific team wins [1]. Wikipedia describes the League of Legends World Championship as an annual international tournament organised by the game's developer, Riot Games, and describes the 2026 edition as the sixteenth iteration, taking place in the United States from 15 October to 14 November [2]. The contract counts six regions: LCK (South Korea), LPL (China), LEC (Europe / EMEA), LCP (Asia-Pacific), LCS (North America), and CBLOL (Brazil) [1]. The saved event includes separate Yes or No contracts for LCK, LPL, and LEC, each asking whether a team from that region wins Worlds 2026 [1]. Each contract is its own question, so the separate prices are not a set of alternatives that must add up to a fixed total. The resolution source is official information from Fandom's League of Legends wiki page for the 2026 Season World Championship [1]. If the winner is not determined by December 31, 2026 ET, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The listed end time of the contract is 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z [1]. This is the contract's closing time under its rules, not an announced date for the tournament final. As retrieved, the Wikipedia page describes the 2026 tournament as "ongoing" and scheduled through 14 November [2]. That description is a retrieved text, not a live confirmation of the tournament's status, and it does not name a winner.
Historical Context
The supplied background is limited to the tournament's general format. Wikipedia describes the 2026 event as the sixteenth iteration of the League of Legends World Championship and an annual international tournament organised by Riot Games [2]. No earlier results or regional history is included in the supplied sources, so this article does not describe past champions.
Why It Matters
The contract measures which region or country the winner of Worlds 2026 belongs to, as defined by the official resolution source [1]. Its rules name six regions and specify that a winner not decided by the deadline resolves to "Other" [1]. The tournament itself is an annual international event run by Riot Games [2], so the regional contracts track outcomes of that competition rather than a separate event. Because the contract resolves on the winning team's region, a single result settles one regional contract and the "Other" outcome, depending on the rules [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-06 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Does the contract name a specific team?
No. The market resolves according to the region or country of the esports team that wins 1st place in Worlds 2026 [1].
Which regions does the contract count?
The rules list LCK (South Korea), LPL (China), LEC (Europe / EMEA), LCP (Asia-Pacific), LCS (North America), and CBLOL (Brazil) [1].
What happens if no winner is determined by the deadline?
If the winner of Worlds 2026 is not determined by December 31, 2026 ET, the market resolves to "Other" [1].
What source is used to determine the result?
The stated resolution source is official information from Fandom's page for the 2026 Season World Championship [1].
When was the 2026 tournament scheduled to take place?
Wikipedia describes the tournament as taking place in the United States from 15 October to 14 November [2].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
2
Largest saved gap: 0.5 percentage points.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
