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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Vol

PM $0

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Events

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Markets

1

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $0

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiCrypto
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

PM $111.81M · K 24.48M contracts

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Bitcoin be above $99,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Related contracts

PM Yes 20.5%Rules differK Yes 24.5%

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Bitcoin be below $55000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?

Related contracts

PM Yes 10.5%Rules differK Yes 11.5%

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Bitcoin be above $109,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Related contracts

PM Yes 9%Rules differK Yes 7.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

15 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

PM $4
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETView outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

PM $0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETView outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

PM $0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETView outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

PM $0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETView outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

PM $0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETView outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

0

No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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