Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Pertamina Grand Prix of Indonesia Winner

Total Volume

$9.52K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Pertamina Grand Prix of Indonesia Winner

Vol

$9.52K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $9.52K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $9.52K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

22 markets tracked

Marco Bezzecchi wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(22)

Market	Platform	Price
Marco Bezzecchi wins	Kalshi	100%
Toprak Razgatlioglu wins	Kalshi	1%
Somkiat Chantra wins	Kalshi	1%
Raul Fernandez wins	Kalshi	1%
Pedro Acosta wins	Kalshi	1%
Maverick Vinales wins	Kalshi	1%
Marc Marquez wins	Kalshi	1%
Luca Marini wins	Kalshi	1%
Johann Zarco wins	Kalshi	1%
Jorge Martin wins	Kalshi	1%
Jack Miller wins	Kalshi	1%
Franco Morbidelli wins	Kalshi	1%
Francesco Bagnaia wins	Kalshi	1%
Fermin Aldeguer wins	Kalshi	1%
Fabio Quartararo wins	Kalshi	1%
Fabio Di Giannantonio wins	Kalshi	1%
Enea Bastianini wins	Kalshi	1%
Diogo Moreira wins	Kalshi	1%
Brad Binder wins	Kalshi	1%
Alex Rins wins	Kalshi	1%
Alex Marquez wins	Kalshi	1%
Ai Ogura wins	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$9.52K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Pertamina Grand Prix of Indonesia ('26) If X finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at the 2026 Pertamina Grand Prix of Indonesia, then the market resolves to Yes. If X retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Pertamina Grand Prix of Indonesia Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Pertamina Grand Prix of Indonesia ('26)

If X finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at the 2026 Pertamina Grand Prix of Indonesia, then the market resolves to Yes. If X retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Toprak Razgatlioglu finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at the 2026 Pertamina Grand Prix of Indonesia, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Toprak Razgatlioglu retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $9.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Toprak Razgatlioglu wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Somkiat Chantra wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Raul Fernandez wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Pedro Acosta wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $270
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Maverick Vinales wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Marc Marquez wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Marco Bezzecchi wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Luca Marini wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Johann Zarco wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Jorge Martin wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $640
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Jack Miller wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Franco Morbidelli wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Francesco Bagnaia wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Fermin Aldeguer wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $177
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Fabio Quartararo wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Fabio Di Giannantonio wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $363
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Enea Bastianini wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Diogo Moreira wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Brad Binder wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Alex Rins wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $3
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Alex Marquez wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Ai Ogura wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $757
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Pertamina Grand Prix of Indonesia Winner

Volume$9.52K

Markets22

22 of 22

Sort:

KALSHI

Marco Bezzecchi wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Marco Bezzecchi wins

If Marco Bezzecchi finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at the 2026 Pertamina Grand Prix of Indonesia, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Marco Bezzecchi retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market

KALSHI

Toprak Razgatlioglu wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Toprak Razgatlioglu wins

If Toprak Razgatlioglu finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at the 2026 Pertamina Grand Prix of Indonesia, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Toprak Razgatlioglu retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the

KALSHI

Somkiat Chantra wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Somkiat Chantra wins

If Somkiat Chantra finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at the 2026 Pertamina Grand Prix of Indonesia, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Somkiat Chantra retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market

KALSHI

Raul Fernandez wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Raul Fernandez wins

If Raul Fernandez finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at the 2026 Pertamina Grand Prix of Indonesia, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Raul Fernandez retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market fo

KALSHI

Pedro Acosta wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Pedro Acosta wins

If Pedro Acosta finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at the 2026 Pertamina Grand Prix of Indonesia, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Pedro Acosta retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for th

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

5¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Sr1tcH" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Pertamina Grand Prix of Indonesia Winner"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Pertamina Grand Prix of Indonesia Winner

Pertamina Grand Prix of Indonesia Winner

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Marco Bezzecchi wins

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Pertamina Grand Prix of Indonesia Winner

Markets (22)

Marco Bezzecchi wins

Marco Bezzecchi wins

Toprak Razgatlioglu wins

Toprak Razgatlioglu wins

Somkiat Chantra wins

Somkiat Chantra wins

Raul Fernandez wins

Raul Fernandez wins

Pedro Acosta wins

Pedro Acosta wins

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Marco Bezzecchi wins

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Pertamina Grand Prix of Indonesia Winner

Marco Bezzecchi wins

Marco Bezzecchi wins

Toprak Razgatlioglu wins

Toprak Razgatlioglu wins

Somkiat Chantra wins

Somkiat Chantra wins

Raul Fernandez wins

Raul Fernandez wins

Pedro Acosta wins

Pedro Acosta wins

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget