Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIClimate and Weather

Sep 2026 temperature increase?

Total Volume

$28.03K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Sep 2026 temperature increase?

Vol

$28.03K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $28.03K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $28.03K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.30001 or above)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.30001 or above)	Kalshi	100%
Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.02999 or below)	Kalshi	1%
Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.24 to 1.30)	Kalshi	1%
Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.17 to 1.23)	Kalshi	1%
Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.10 to 1.16)	Kalshi	1%
Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.04 to 1.09)	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$28.03K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

In Sep 2026 If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Sep 2026 is X Y then the market resolves to Yes.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Sep 2026 temperature increase?
**Category:** Climate and Weather | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In Sep 2026

If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Sep 2026 is X Y then the market resolves to Yes.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Sep 2026 is between 1.24-1.30, then the market resolves to Yes."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $28.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.30001 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 13, 2027): Vol $14.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.02999 or below)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 13, 2027): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.24 to 1.30)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 13, 2027): Vol $5.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.17 to 1.23)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 13, 2027): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.10 to 1.16)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 13, 2027): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.04 to 1.09)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 13, 2027): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIClimate and Weather

Sep 2026 temperature increase?

In Sep 2026 If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Sep 2026 is X Y then the market resolves to Yes.

Volume$28.03K

Markets6

6 of 6

Sort:

KALSHI

Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.30001 or above)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.30001 or above)

If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Sep 2026 is above 1.30, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.02999 or below)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.02999 or below)

If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Sep 2026 is below 1.03, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.24 to 1.30)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.24 to 1.30)

If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Sep 2026 is between 1.24-1.30, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.17 to 1.23)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.17 to 1.23)

If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Sep 2026 is between 1.17-1.23, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.10 to 1.16)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.10 to 1.16)

If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Sep 2026 is between 1.10-1.16, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

17¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/SrgCsD" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Sep 2026 temperature increase?"></iframe>

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Sep 2026 temperature increase?

Sep 2026 temperature increase?

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Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.30001 or above)

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Sep 2026 temperature increase?

Markets (6)

Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.30001 or above)

Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.30001 or above)

Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.02999 or below)

Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.02999 or below)

Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.24 to 1.30)

Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.24 to 1.30)

Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.17 to 1.23)

Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.17 to 1.23)

Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.10 to 1.16)

Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.10 to 1.16)

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.30001 or above)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Sep 2026 temperature increase?

Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.30001 or above)

Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.30001 or above)

Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.02999 or below)

Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.02999 or below)

Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.24 to 1.30)

Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.24 to 1.30)

Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.17 to 1.23)

Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.17 to 1.23)

Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.10 to 1.16)

Sep 2026 temperature increase? (1.10 to 1.16)

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