Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Who will be Premier of Quebec after the 2026 election?

Total Volume

$8.15K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Who will be Premier of Quebec after the 2026 election?

Vol

$8.15K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $8.15K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $8.15K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will it be confirmed that Paul St-Pierre Plamondon is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will it be confirmed that Paul St-Pierre Plamondon is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Kalshi	99%
Will it be confirmed that Ruba Ghazal is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Kalshi	1%
Will it be confirmed that Éric Duhaime is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Kalshi	1%
Will it be confirmed that Charles Milliard is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Kalshi	1%
Will it be confirmed that Christine Fréchette is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

99%

Top Probability

$8.15K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Before Jan 1, 2027 If X is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. News confirmation is a published article, broadcast segment, or official news report by a Source Agency that explicitly states the described event occurred, is true, or has been verified; is based on journalisti

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will be Premier of Quebec after the 2026 election?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Jan 1, 2027

If X is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. News confirmation is a published article, broadcast segment, or official news report by a Source Agency that explicitly states the described event occurred, is true, or has been verified; is based on journalisti

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Ruba Ghazal is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.

New"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $8.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will it be confirmed that Ruba Ghazal is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will it be confirmed that Paul St-Pierre Plamondon is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will it be confirmed that Éric Duhaime is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $70
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will it be confirmed that Charles Milliard is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $696
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will it be confirmed that Christine Fréchette is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Who will be Premier of Quebec after the 2026 election?

Volume$8.15K

Markets5

5 of 5

Sort:

KALSHI

Will it be confirmed that Paul St-Pierre Plamondon is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will it be confirmed that Paul St-Pierre Plamondon is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?

If Paul St-Pierre Plamondon is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source

KALSHI

Will it be confirmed that Ruba Ghazal is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.0¢No 99.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will it be confirmed that Ruba Ghazal is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?

If Ruba Ghazal is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. New

KALSHI

Will it be confirmed that Éric Duhaime is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.0¢No 99.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will it be confirmed that Éric Duhaime is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?

If Éric Duhaime is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. Ne

KALSHI

Will it be confirmed that Charles Milliard is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.0¢No 99.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will it be confirmed that Charles Milliard is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?

If Charles Milliard is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.

KALSHI

Will it be confirmed that Christine Fréchette is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will it be confirmed that Christine Fréchette is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?

If Christine Fréchette is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agen

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

20¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Svnx7A" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Who will be Premier of Quebec after the 2026 election?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Who will be Premier of Quebec after the 2026 election?

Who will be Premier of Quebec after the 2026 election?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will it be confirmed that Paul St-Pierre Plamondon is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Who will be Premier of Quebec after the 2026 election?

Markets (5)

Will it be confirmed that Paul St-Pierre Plamondon is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?

Will it be confirmed that Paul St-Pierre Plamondon is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?

Will it be confirmed that Ruba Ghazal is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?

Will it be confirmed that Ruba Ghazal is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?

Will it be confirmed that Éric Duhaime is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?

Will it be confirmed that Éric Duhaime is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?

Will it be confirmed that Charles Milliard is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?

Will it be confirmed that Charles Milliard is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?

Will it be confirmed that Christine Fréchette is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?

Will it be confirmed that Christine Fréchette is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will it be confirmed that Paul St-Pierre Plamondon is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Who will be Premier of Quebec after the 2026 election?

Will it be confirmed that Paul St-Pierre Plamondon is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?

Will it be confirmed that Paul St-Pierre Plamondon is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?

Will it be confirmed that Ruba Ghazal is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?

Will it be confirmed that Ruba Ghazal is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?

Will it be confirmed that Éric Duhaime is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?

Will it be confirmed that Éric Duhaime is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?

Will it be confirmed that Charles Milliard is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?

Will it be confirmed that Charles Milliard is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?

Will it be confirmed that Christine Fréchette is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?

Will it be confirmed that Christine Fréchette is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget