Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

North Dakota Secretary of State winner?

Total Volume

$206.02

Events

Markets

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North Dakota Secretary of State winner?

Vol

$206.02

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $206.02

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $206.02

100%

Kalshi leads

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2 markets tracked

Will Michael Howe win the 2026 North Dakota Secretary of State election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Michael Howe win the 2026 North Dakota Secretary of State election?	Kalshi	97%
Will Ryan Braunberger win the 2026 North Dakota Secretary of State election?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

97%

Top Probability

$206.02

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

in 2026 If X wins the 2026 North Dakota Secretary of State election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** North Dakota Secretary of State winner?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** in 2026

If X wins the 2026 North Dakota Secretary of State election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Ryan Braunberger wins the 2026 North Dakota Secretary of State election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $206
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Ryan Braunberger win the 2026 North Dakota Secretary of State election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Michael Howe win the 2026 North Dakota Secretary of State election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $206
  DATA: [Yes: 97.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

North Dakota Secretary of State winner?

Volume$206.02

Markets2

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KALSHI

Will Michael Howe win the 2026 North Dakota Secretary of State election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.0¢No 3.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Michael Howe win the 2026 North Dakota Secretary of State election?

If Michael Howe wins the 2026 North Dakota Secretary of State election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

KALSHI

Will Ryan Braunberger win the 2026 North Dakota Secretary of State election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.0¢No 97.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Ryan Braunberger win the 2026 North Dakota Secretary of State election?

If Ryan Braunberger wins the 2026 North Dakota Secretary of State election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

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50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/SvpIyB" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="North Dakota Secretary of State winner?"></iframe>

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North Dakota Secretary of State winner?

North Dakota Secretary of State winner?

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Will Michael Howe win the 2026 North Dakota Secretary of State election?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

North Dakota Secretary of State winner?

Markets (2)

Will Michael Howe win the 2026 North Dakota Secretary of State election?

Will Michael Howe win the 2026 North Dakota Secretary of State election?

Will Ryan Braunberger win the 2026 North Dakota Secretary of State election?

Will Ryan Braunberger win the 2026 North Dakota Secretary of State election?

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Will Michael Howe win the 2026 North Dakota Secretary of State election?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

North Dakota Secretary of State winner?

Will Michael Howe win the 2026 North Dakota Secretary of State election?

Will Michael Howe win the 2026 North Dakota Secretary of State election?

Will Ryan Braunberger win the 2026 North Dakota Secretary of State election?

Will Ryan Braunberger win the 2026 North Dakota Secretary of State election?

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