Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...?

Name: Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...?
End: 2026-12-31T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$58.06K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...?

Vol

$58.06K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $58.06K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $58.06K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by December 31?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by December 31?	Poly	9%
Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by October 31?	Poly	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$58.06K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Ukrainian airspace has been closed to air traffic since the full-scale invasion by the Russian Federation on February 24, 2022. Boryspil International Airport (KBP / UKBB), located near Kyiv, suspended all routine operations immediately following the start of hostilities, and routine and general flights remain suspended. This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one manned aircraft successfully lands at or takes off from Boryspil International Airport between market creation and the specifi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...?
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 31, 2026 (82 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** Ukrainian airspace has been closed to air traffic since the full-scale invasion by the Russian Federation on February 24, 2022. Boryspil International Airport (KBP / UKBB), located near Kyiv, suspended all routine operations immediately following the start of hostilities, and routine and general flights remain suspended.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one manned aircraft successfully lands at or takes off from Boryspil International Airport between market creation and the specifi

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $45.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $34.8K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.31)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $23.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.4% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by December 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $22.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETWorld