Market snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita: Method of Victory

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Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita: Method of Victory

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Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

As of Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Aaron Pico by Submission at 24.5%.

Kalshi

Aaron Pico by Submission24.5%
Aaron Pico by KO/TKO/DQ24.5%
Aaron Pico by Decision24.5%
Losene Keita by KO/TKO/DQ24.5%
Losene Keita by Decision24.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

7 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Aaron Pico wins by Submission?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Aaron Pico wins by Submission?	Kalshi	24.5%
Aaron Pico wins by KO/TKO/DQ?	Kalshi	24.5%
Aaron Pico wins by Decision?	Kalshi	24.5%
Losene Keita wins by KO/TKO/DQ?	Kalshi	24.5%
Losene Keita wins by Decision?	Kalshi	24.5%
Losene Keita wins by Submission?	Kalshi	24.0%
Fight ends in a draw/no contest?	Kalshi	24.0%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

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AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 0 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita (Oct 24) If Aaron Pico wins X during the Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita 333 fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita: Method of Victory
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 0 contracts
Coverage: 7 of 7 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Aaron Pico wins by Submission?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUFCMOV-26OCT24PICKEI-PICSUB; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcmov-26oct24pickei
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 24.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 75.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Aaron Pico wins by Submission during the Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita 333 fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Aaron Pico wins by KO/TKO/DQ?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUFCMOV-26OCT24PICKEI-PICKOTKODQ; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcmov-26oct24pickei
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 24.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 75.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Aaron Pico wins by KO/TKO/DQ during the Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita 333 fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Aaron Pico wins by Decision?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUFCMOV-26OCT24PICKEI-PICDEC; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcmov-26oct24pickei
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 24.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 75.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Aaron Pico wins by Decision during the Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita 333 fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Losene Keita wins by Submission?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUFCMOV-26OCT24PICKEI-KEISUB; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcmov-26oct24pickei
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 24.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 76.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Losene Keita wins by Submission during the Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita 333 fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Losene Keita wins by KO/TKO/DQ?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUFCMOV-26OCT24PICKEI-KEIKOTKODQ; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcmov-26oct24pickei
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 24.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 75.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Losene Keita wins by KO/TKO/DQ during the Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita 333 fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Losene Keita wins by Decision?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUFCMOV-26OCT24PICKEI-KEIDEC; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcmov-26oct24pickei
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 24.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 75.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Losene Keita wins by Decision during the Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita 333 fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Fight ends in a draw/no contest?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUFCMOV-26OCT24PICKEI-DRAW; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcmov-26oct24pickei
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 24.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 76.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Aaron Pico and Losene Keita fight ends in a draw or no contest during the Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita 333 fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

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