Name: Casa Pia AC vs. AVS Futebol
End: 2026-01-23T20:15:00.000Z

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Casa Pia AC vs. AVS Futebol | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-01-23?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-01-23?	Poly	56%
Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-01-23?	Poly	44%
Will Casa Pia AC vs. AVS Futebol end in a draw?	Poly	26%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Casa Pia AC vs. AVS Futebol
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 23, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Primeira Liga game, scheduled for Friday, January 23, 2026 between Casa Pia AC and AVS Futebol.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 23, 2026
If Casa Pia AC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $4
* **Total Liquidity:** $308
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-01-23?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 23, 2026): Vol $4
  DATA: [Yes: 55.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Casa Pia AC vs. AVS Futebol end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-01-23?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 43.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

7d 8h remaining

Jan 23, 2026 8:15 PM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

42¢

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Casa Pia AC vs. AVS Futebol

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Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-01-23?

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Events (1)

Casa Pia AC vs. AVS Futebol

Markets (3)

Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-01-23?

Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-01-23?

Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-01-23?

Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-01-23?

Will Casa Pia AC vs. AVS Futebol end in a draw?

Will Casa Pia AC vs. AVS Futebol end in a draw?

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Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-01-23?

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Casa Pia AC vs. AVS Futebol

Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-01-23?

Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-01-23?

Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-01-23?

Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-01-23?

Will Casa Pia AC vs. AVS Futebol end in a draw?

Will Casa Pia AC vs. AVS Futebol end in a draw?

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