Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Stolen Bases

Total Volume

$29.67K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Stolen Bases

Vol

$29.67K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $29.67K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $29.67K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

18 markets tracked

Jackson Chourio: 1+ stolen bases?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(18)

Market	Platform	Price
Jackson Chourio: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	16%
Cooper Pratt: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	15%
Brice Turang: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	14%
Luis Lara: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	12%
Garrett Mitchell: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	11%
Joey Ortiz: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	9%
Shohei Ohtani: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	9%
Mookie Betts: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	7%
Jake Bauers: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	7%
Kyle Tucker: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	6%
Andy Pages: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	6%
William Contreras: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	5%
Teoscar Hernández: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	5%
Freddie Freeman: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	5%
Max Muncy (LAD): 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	4%
Enrique Hernández: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	3%
Andrew Vaughn: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	3%
Will Smith: 1+ stolen bases?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

16%

Top Probability

$29.67K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

LAD vs MIL (Oct 11) If X records 1+ stolen bases in Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Player Participation & X is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price. Y starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price. Y is not in the starting lineup but later enters the game, the market

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Stolen Bases
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** LAD vs MIL (Oct 11)

If X records 1+ stolen bases in Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Player Participation & X is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price. Y starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price. Y is not in the starting lineup but later enters the game, the market 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Andrew Vaughn records 1+ stolen bases in Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria
If Andrew Vaughn is scratched or not included in the st"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $29.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Andrew Vaughn: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Smith: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $339
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Teoscar Hernández: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $555
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Max Muncy (LAD): 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $16
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Luis Lara: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Kyle Tucker: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Joey Ortiz: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $253
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Jake Bauers: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $25
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Garrett Mitchell: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Enrique Hernández: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $128
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Cooper Pratt: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $884
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. William Contreras: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $616
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Jackson Chourio: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Brice Turang: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Shohei Ohtani: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $7.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Mookie Betts: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $8.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Freddie Freeman: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $950
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Andy Pages: 1+ stolen bases?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Stolen Bases

Volume$29.67K

Markets18

18 of 18

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KALSHI

Jackson Chourio: 1+ stolen bases?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 15.5¢No 84.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Jackson Chourio: 1+ stolen bases?

If Jackson Chourio records 1+ stolen bases in Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Jackson Chourio is scratched or not included in th

KALSHI

Cooper Pratt: 1+ stolen bases?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 15.0¢No 85.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Cooper Pratt: 1+ stolen bases?

If Cooper Pratt records 1+ stolen bases in Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Cooper Pratt is scratched or not included in the star

KALSHI

Brice Turang: 1+ stolen bases?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 14.5¢No 85.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Brice Turang: 1+ stolen bases?

If Brice Turang records 1+ stolen bases in Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Brice Turang is scratched or not included in the star

KALSHI

Luis Lara: 1+ stolen bases?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.0¢No 88.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Luis Lara: 1+ stolen bases?

If Luis Lara records 1+ stolen bases in Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Luis Lara is scratched or not included in the starting l

KALSHI

Garrett Mitchell: 1+ stolen bases?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.0¢No 89.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Garrett Mitchell: 1+ stolen bases?

If Garrett Mitchell records 1+ stolen bases in Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Garrett Mitchell is scratched or not included in

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8¢

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Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Stolen Bases

Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Stolen Bases

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Jackson Chourio: 1+ stolen bases?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Stolen Bases

Markets (18)

Jackson Chourio: 1+ stolen bases?

Jackson Chourio: 1+ stolen bases?

Cooper Pratt: 1+ stolen bases?

Cooper Pratt: 1+ stolen bases?

Brice Turang: 1+ stolen bases?

Brice Turang: 1+ stolen bases?

Luis Lara: 1+ stolen bases?

Luis Lara: 1+ stolen bases?

Garrett Mitchell: 1+ stolen bases?

Garrett Mitchell: 1+ stolen bases?

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Jackson Chourio: 1+ stolen bases?

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Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Stolen Bases

Jackson Chourio: 1+ stolen bases?

Jackson Chourio: 1+ stolen bases?

Cooper Pratt: 1+ stolen bases?

Cooper Pratt: 1+ stolen bases?

Brice Turang: 1+ stolen bases?

Brice Turang: 1+ stolen bases?

Luis Lara: 1+ stolen bases?

Luis Lara: 1+ stolen bases?

Garrett Mitchell: 1+ stolen bases?

Garrett Mitchell: 1+ stolen bases?

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