Another Canada election called by June 30? | PredictPedia

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Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

Another Canada election called by June 30?

Name: Another Canada election called by June 30?
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$75.03K

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Another Canada election called by June 30?

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Polymarket

markets · $75.03K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $75.03K

100%

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1 market tracked

Another Canada election called by June 30?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Another Canada election called by June 30?	Poly	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$75.03K

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolut

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, April 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Another Canada election called by June 30?
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 30, 2026 (75 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").

The primary resolut

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $75.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $16.7K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 4.50)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Another Canada election called by June 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $75.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

74d 3h remaining

Jun 30, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

2¢

Polymarket

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Another Canada election called by June 30?

Another Canada election called by June 30?

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Another Canada election called by June 30?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)