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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Chungcheongbuk Province Governor Election Winner

Name: Chungcheongbuk Province Governor Election Winner
End: 2026-06-03T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$28.64K

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Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Chungcheongbuk Province Governor Election Winner

Vol

$28.64K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $28.64K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $28.64K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	94%
Will Kim Young-hwan win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	3%
Will Cho Gil-hyeong win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	0%
Will Noh Yeong-min win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	0%
Will Yoon Hee-geun win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	0%
Will Do Jong-hwan win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	0%
Will Lee Jong-bae win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	0%
Will Song Ki-sub win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

94%

Top Probability

$28.64K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next governor of Chungcheongbuk Province. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, t

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Wednesday, October 14, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Chungcheongbuk Province Governor Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 3, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** The 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next governor of Chungcheongbuk Province. 

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, t

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next governor of Chungcheongbuk Province. 

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by Decem"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $28.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $52.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.54)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Kim Young-hwan win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $12.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Yoon Hee-geun win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $890
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Do Jong-hwan win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $962
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Lee Jong-bae win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Song Ki-sub win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Cho Gil-hyeong win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $8.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Noh Yeong-min win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics