Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Next Mayor of Plzeň

Name: Next Mayor of Plzeň
End: 2026-10-10T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$13.72K

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Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Next Mayor of Plzeň

Vol

$13.72K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $13.72K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $13.72K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň?	Poly	95%
Will Tomáš Morávek be the next Mayor of Plzeň?	Poly	2%
Will Lukáš Hegner be the next Mayor of Plzeň?	Poly	2%
Will Pavel Bosák be the next Mayor of Plzeň?	Poly	0%
Will Július Liška be the next Mayor of Plzeň?	Poly	0%
Will Aleš Tolar be the next Mayor of Plzeň?	Poly	0%
Will Michal Vozobule be the next Mayor of Plzeň?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

95%

Top Probability

$13.72K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in Czechia on October 9-10, 2026. The next mayor of Plzeň will be elected by the newly constituted council following the 2026 Czech municipal elections. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Plzeň following the 2026 Czech municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the city council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will n

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Next Mayor of Plzeň
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 10, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in Czechia on October 9-10, 2026. The next mayor of Plzeň will be elected by the newly constituted council following the 2026 Czech municipal elections.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Plzeň following the 2026 Czech municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the city council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will n

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in Czechia on October 9-10, 2026. The next mayor of Plzeň will be elected by the newly constituted council following the 2026 Czech municipal elections.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor o"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $13.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $77.9K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.18)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $9.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 95.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.7% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Lukáš Hegner be the next Mayor of Plzeň?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $963
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.3% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Aleš Tolar be the next Mayor of Plzeň?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $610
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Pavel Bosák be the next Mayor of Plzeň?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $666
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Tomáš Morávek be the next Mayor of Plzeň?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Michal Vozobule be the next Mayor of Plzeň?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $361
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Július Liška be the next Mayor of Plzeň?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $726
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics