Name: Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stage
End: 2026-01-29T03:00:00.000Z

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Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stage | PredictPedia

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5 markets tracked

Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Pigeons - Map 1 Winner

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Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Pigeons - Map 1 Winner	Poly	100%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	100%
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stage	Poly	0%
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Pigeons - Map 2 Winner	Poly	0%
Map Handicap: NBG (-1.5) vs Pigeons (+1.5)	Poly	0%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stage
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 29, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the Valorant match between Nightblood Gaming and Pigeons in the VCL North America Swiss Stage, scheduled for January 28 at 4:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Nightblood Gaming" if Nightblood Gaming win the match against Pigeons.

This market will resolve to "Pigeons" if Pigeons win the match against Nightblood Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this mark

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the Valorant match between Nightblood Gaming and Pigeons in the VCL North America Swiss Stage, scheduled for January 28 at 4:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Nightblood Gaming" if Nightblood Gaming win the match against Pigeons.

This market will resolve to "Pigeons" if P"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $9.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $887.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stage
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $3.4K
  DATA: [Nightblood Gaming: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [Pigeons: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Pigeons - Map 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Nightblood Gaming: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [Pigeons: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 3. Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Pigeons - Map 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Nightblood Gaming: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [Pigeons: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Over: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 5. Map Handicap: NBG (-1.5) vs Pigeons (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Nightblood Gaming: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [Pigeons: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

40¢

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Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stage

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Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Pigeons - Map 1 Winner

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stage

Markets (5)

Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stage

Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stage

Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Pigeons - Map 1 Winner

Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Pigeons - Map 1 Winner

Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Pigeons - Map 2 Winner

Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Pigeons - Map 2 Winner

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

Map Handicap: NBG (-1.5) vs Pigeons (+1.5)

Map Handicap: NBG (-1.5) vs Pigeons (+1.5)

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Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Pigeons - Map 1 Winner

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stage

Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stage

Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stage

Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Pigeons - Map 1 Winner

Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Pigeons - Map 1 Winner

Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Pigeons - Map 2 Winner

Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Pigeons - Map 2 Winner

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

Map Handicap: NBG (-1.5) vs Pigeons (+1.5)

Map Handicap: NBG (-1.5) vs Pigeons (+1.5)

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