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What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

Name: What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?
End: 2026-12-02T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$23.87K

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Markets

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What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

Vol

$23.87K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $23.87K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $23.87K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

20 markets tracked

Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Fay?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(20)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Fay?	Poly	36%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Isaias?	Poly	25%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Gonzalo?	Poly	21%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Hanna?	Poly	14%
Will there be no hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?	Poly	13%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Edouard?	Poly	5%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Josephine?	Poly	5%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Kyle?	Poly	4%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Dolly?	Poly	1%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Leah?	Poly	1%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Nana?	Poly	0%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Paulette?	Poly	0%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Cristobal?	Poly	0%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Omar?	Poly	0%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Rene?	Poly	0%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Teddy?	Poly	0%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Vicky?	Poly	0%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Wilfred?	Poly	0%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Sally?	Poly	0%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Marco?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

36%

Top Probability

$23.87K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Win

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, September 6, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?
**Category:** Climate | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 2, 2026 (88 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other".

A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Win

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $23.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $14.3K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.67)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Cristobal?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Dolly?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $3.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Edouard?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $4.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.7% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Fay?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Gonzalo?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 21.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.6% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Hanna?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $764
  DATA: [Yes: 14.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Isaias?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 24.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.4% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Josephine?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $770
  DATA: [Yes: 4.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.1% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Kyle?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $798
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Leah?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $661
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Marco?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $503
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Nana?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $477
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Omar?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $540
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Paulette?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $590
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Rene?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $489
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Sally?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $557
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Teddy?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $489
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Vicky?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $516
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Wilfred?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $544
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will there be no hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 2, 2026): Vol $700
  DATA: [Yes: 12.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.2% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETClimate