Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot: Game Spread

Total Volume

$42.40

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Markets

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Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot: Game Spread

Vol

$42.40

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $42.40

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $42.40

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Will Tommy Paul win at least 1.5 more games than Valentin Vacherot?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Tommy Paul win at least 1.5 more games than Valentin Vacherot?	Kalshi	52%
Will Valentin Vacherot win at least 1.5 more games than Tommy Paul?	Kalshi	37%
Will Tommy Paul win at least 4.5 more games than Valentin Vacherot?	Kalshi	22%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

52%

Top Probability

$42.40

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot (Oct 12) If the game differential in favor X across the full match is above Y games in the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any o

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot: Game Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot (Oct 12)

If the game differential in favor X across the full match is above Y games in the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any o

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the game differential in favor of Valentin Vacherot across the full match is above 1.5 games in the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Tommy Paul vs Va"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $42
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Valentin Vacherot win at least 1.5 more games than Tommy Paul?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Tommy Paul win at least 4.5 more games than Valentin Vacherot?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $11
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Tommy Paul win at least 1.5 more games than Valentin Vacherot?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $31
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot: Game Spread

Volume$42.40

Markets3

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KALSHI

Will Tommy Paul win at least 1.5 more games than Valentin Vacherot?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 51.5¢No 48.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Tommy Paul win at least 1.5 more games than Valentin Vacherot?

If the game differential in favor of Tommy Paul across the full match is above 1.5 games in the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Tommy Paul vs Valentin

KALSHI

Will Valentin Vacherot win at least 1.5 more games than Tommy Paul?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 37.0¢No 63.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Valentin Vacherot win at least 1.5 more games than Tommy Paul?

If the game differential in favor of Valentin Vacherot across the full match is above 1.5 games in the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Tommy Paul vs Va

KALSHI

Will Tommy Paul win at least 4.5 more games than Valentin Vacherot?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 21.5¢No 78.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Tommy Paul win at least 4.5 more games than Valentin Vacherot?

If the game differential in favor of Tommy Paul across the full match is above 4.5 games in the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Tommy Paul vs Valentin

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37¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/TBKG6n" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot: Game Spread"></iframe>

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Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot: Game Spread

Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot: Game Spread

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Will Tommy Paul win at least 1.5 more games than Valentin Vacherot?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot: Game Spread

Markets (3)

Will Tommy Paul win at least 1.5 more games than Valentin Vacherot?

Will Tommy Paul win at least 1.5 more games than Valentin Vacherot?

Will Valentin Vacherot win at least 1.5 more games than Tommy Paul?

Will Valentin Vacherot win at least 1.5 more games than Tommy Paul?

Will Tommy Paul win at least 4.5 more games than Valentin Vacherot?

Will Tommy Paul win at least 4.5 more games than Valentin Vacherot?

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Will Tommy Paul win at least 1.5 more games than Valentin Vacherot?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot: Game Spread

Will Tommy Paul win at least 1.5 more games than Valentin Vacherot?

Will Tommy Paul win at least 1.5 more games than Valentin Vacherot?

Will Valentin Vacherot win at least 1.5 more games than Tommy Paul?

Will Valentin Vacherot win at least 1.5 more games than Tommy Paul?

Will Tommy Paul win at least 4.5 more games than Valentin Vacherot?

Will Tommy Paul win at least 4.5 more games than Valentin Vacherot?

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