Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Nevada Lieutenant Governor winner?

Total Volume

$6.08K

Events

Markets

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Nevada Lieutenant Governor winner?

Vol

$6.08K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $6.08K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $6.08K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Will Sandra Jauregui win the 2026 Nevada Lieutenant Governor election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Sandra Jauregui win the 2026 Nevada Lieutenant Governor election?	Kalshi	62%
Will Stavros Anthony win the 2026 Nevada Lieutenant Governor election?	Kalshi	39%
Will Janine Hansen win the 2026 Nevada Lieutenant Governor election?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

62%

Top Probability

$6.08K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

in 2026 If X wins the 2026 Nevada Lieutenant Governor election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Nevada Lieutenant Governor winner?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** in 2026

If X wins the 2026 Nevada Lieutenant Governor election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Sandra Jauregui wins the 2026 Nevada Lieutenant Governor election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Sandra Jauregui win the 2026 Nevada Lieutenant Governor election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 62.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Stavros Anthony win the 2026 Nevada Lieutenant Governor election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Janine Hansen win the 2026 Nevada Lieutenant Governor election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $5.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Nevada Lieutenant Governor winner?

Volume$6.08K

Markets3

3 of 3

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KALSHI

Will Sandra Jauregui win the 2026 Nevada Lieutenant Governor election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 62.0¢No 38.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Sandra Jauregui win the 2026 Nevada Lieutenant Governor election?

If Sandra Jauregui wins the 2026 Nevada Lieutenant Governor election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

KALSHI

Will Stavros Anthony win the 2026 Nevada Lieutenant Governor election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 38.5¢No 61.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Stavros Anthony win the 2026 Nevada Lieutenant Governor election?

If Stavros Anthony wins the 2026 Nevada Lieutenant Governor election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

KALSHI

Will Janine Hansen win the 2026 Nevada Lieutenant Governor election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Janine Hansen win the 2026 Nevada Lieutenant Governor election?

If Janine Hansen wins the 2026 Nevada Lieutenant Governor election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

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34¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/TCqUIp" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Nevada Lieutenant Governor winner?"></iframe>

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Nevada Lieutenant Governor winner?

Nevada Lieutenant Governor winner?

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Will Sandra Jauregui win the 2026 Nevada Lieutenant Governor election?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Nevada Lieutenant Governor winner?

Markets (3)

Will Sandra Jauregui win the 2026 Nevada Lieutenant Governor election?

Will Sandra Jauregui win the 2026 Nevada Lieutenant Governor election?

Will Stavros Anthony win the 2026 Nevada Lieutenant Governor election?

Will Stavros Anthony win the 2026 Nevada Lieutenant Governor election?

Will Janine Hansen win the 2026 Nevada Lieutenant Governor election?

Will Janine Hansen win the 2026 Nevada Lieutenant Governor election?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Sandra Jauregui win the 2026 Nevada Lieutenant Governor election?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Nevada Lieutenant Governor winner?

Will Sandra Jauregui win the 2026 Nevada Lieutenant Governor election?

Will Sandra Jauregui win the 2026 Nevada Lieutenant Governor election?

Will Stavros Anthony win the 2026 Nevada Lieutenant Governor election?

Will Stavros Anthony win the 2026 Nevada Lieutenant Governor election?

Will Janine Hansen win the 2026 Nevada Lieutenant Governor election?

Will Janine Hansen win the 2026 Nevada Lieutenant Governor election?

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