Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

M15 Quito: Pedro Vargas vs Franco Marini

Name: M15 Quito: Pedro Vargas vs Franco Marini
End: 2026-10-18T18:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.91K

Events

Markets

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M15 Quito: Pedro Vargas vs Franco Marini

Vol

$1.91K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.91K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.91K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Set Handicap: Pedro Vargas (-1.5) vs Franco Marini (+1.5)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Set Handicap: Pedro Vargas (-1.5) vs Franco Marini (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Set Handicap: Franco Marini (-1.5) vs Pedro Vargas (+1.5)	Poly	50%
M15 Quito: Pedro Vargas vs Franco Marini	Poly	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$1.91K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Vargas and Franco Marini in the M15 Quito, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Vargas' if Pedro Vargas advances against Franco Marini. This market will resolve to 'Franco Marini' if Franco Marini advances against Pedro Vargas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the s

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** M15 Quito: Pedro Vargas vs Franco Marini
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 18, 2026 (7 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Vargas and Franco Marini in the M15 Quito, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Pedro Vargas' if Pedro Vargas advances against Franco Marini.

This market will resolve to 'Franco Marini' if Franco Marini advances against Pedro Vargas.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the s

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Vargas and Franco Marini in the M15 Quito, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Pedro Vargas' if Pedro Vargas advances against Franco Marini.

This market will resolve to 'Franco Marini'"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $808
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.36)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. M15 Quito: Pedro Vargas vs Franco Marini
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Pedro Vargas: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [Franco Marini: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Set Handicap: Pedro Vargas (-1.5) vs Franco Marini (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Pedro Vargas: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Franco Marini: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set Handicap: Franco Marini (-1.5) vs Pedro Vargas (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Franco Marini: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Pedro Vargas: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

M15 Quito: Pedro Vargas vs Franco Marini

Volume$1.91K

Markets3

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POLYMARKET

M15 Quito: Pedro Vargas vs Franco Marini

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

M15 Quito: Pedro Vargas vs Franco Marini

POLYMARKET

Set Handicap: Pedro Vargas (-1.5) vs Franco Marini (+1.5)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set Handicap: Pedro Vargas (-1.5) vs Franco Marini (+1.5)

This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Vargas and Franco Marini in the M15 Quito, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Pedro Vargas" if Pedro Vargas wins by 2 or more sets than Franco Marini, based on the final completed score. Otherwise,

POLYMARKET

Set Handicap: Franco Marini (-1.5) vs Pedro Vargas (+1.5)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set Handicap: Franco Marini (-1.5) vs Pedro Vargas (+1.5)

This market refers to the tennis match between Franco Marini and Pedro Vargas in the M15 Quito, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Franco Marini" if Franco Marini wins by 2 or more sets than Pedro Vargas, based on the final completed score. Otherwise

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Oct 18, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

34¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/TEd9vN" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="M15 Quito: Pedro Vargas vs Franco Marini"></iframe>

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M15 Quito: Pedro Vargas vs Franco Marini

M15 Quito: Pedro Vargas vs Franco Marini

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Set Handicap: Pedro Vargas (-1.5) vs Franco Marini (+1.5)

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Educational Context

Events (1)

M15 Quito: Pedro Vargas vs Franco Marini

Markets (3)

M15 Quito: Pedro Vargas vs Franco Marini

M15 Quito: Pedro Vargas vs Franco Marini

Set Handicap: Pedro Vargas (-1.5) vs Franco Marini (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Pedro Vargas (-1.5) vs Franco Marini (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Franco Marini (-1.5) vs Pedro Vargas (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Franco Marini (-1.5) vs Pedro Vargas (+1.5)

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Set Handicap: Pedro Vargas (-1.5) vs Franco Marini (+1.5)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

M15 Quito: Pedro Vargas vs Franco Marini

M15 Quito: Pedro Vargas vs Franco Marini

M15 Quito: Pedro Vargas vs Franco Marini

Set Handicap: Pedro Vargas (-1.5) vs Franco Marini (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Pedro Vargas (-1.5) vs Franco Marini (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Franco Marini (-1.5) vs Pedro Vargas (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Franco Marini (-1.5) vs Pedro Vargas (+1.5)

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