Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

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Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

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Polymarket

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Kalshi

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8 markets tracked

Will there be more than 260 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will there be more than 260 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?	Kalshi	89%
Will there be more than 270 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?	Kalshi	76%
Will there be more than 280 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?	Kalshi	59%
Will there be more than 290 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?	Kalshi	46%
Will there be more than 300 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?	Kalshi	29%
Will there be more than 310 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?	Kalshi	21%
Will there be more than 320 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?	Kalshi	15%
Will there be more than 330 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?	Kalshi	11%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

89%

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$0.00

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About This Event

10/12 - 10/18 If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above X from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 10/12 - 10/18

If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above X from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 330 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026. The market will resolve no earli"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will there be more than 330 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 18, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will there be more than 320 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 18, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will there be more than 310 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 18, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will there be more than 300 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 18, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will there be more than 290 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 18, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will there be more than 280 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 18, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 58.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will there be more than 270 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 18, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 75.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will there be more than 260 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 18, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 88.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Volume$0.00

Markets8

8 of 8

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KALSHI

Will there be more than 260 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 88.5¢No 11.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will there be more than 260 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 260 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026. The market will resolve no earli

KALSHI

Will there be more than 270 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 75.5¢No 24.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will there be more than 270 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 270 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026. The market will resolve no earli

KALSHI

Will there be more than 280 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 58.5¢No 41.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will there be more than 280 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 280 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026. The market will resolve no earli

KALSHI

Will there be more than 290 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 45.5¢No 54.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will there be more than 290 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 290 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026. The market will resolve no earli

KALSHI

Will there be more than 300 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 28.5¢No 71.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will there be more than 300 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 300 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026. The market will resolve no earli

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43¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/TMkE4s" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)"></iframe>

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Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

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Will there be more than 260 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Markets (8)

Will there be more than 260 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

Will there be more than 260 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

Will there be more than 270 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

Will there be more than 270 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

Will there be more than 280 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

Will there be more than 280 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

Will there be more than 290 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

Will there be more than 290 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

Will there be more than 300 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

Will there be more than 300 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

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Will there be more than 260 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Will there be more than 260 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

Will there be more than 260 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

Will there be more than 270 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

Will there be more than 270 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

Will there be more than 280 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

Will there be more than 280 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

Will there be more than 290 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

Will there be more than 290 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

Will there be more than 300 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

Will there be more than 300 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

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