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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election Winner

Name: Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election Winner
End: 2026-06-03T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.13M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election Winner

Vol

$1.13M

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.13M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.13M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	92%
Will Moon Jin-seok win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	3%
Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	1%
Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	1%
Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	0%
Will Chung Jin-suk win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	0%
Will Kang Seung-kyu win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	0%
Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	0%
Will Sung Il-jong win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

92%

Top Probability

$1.13M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next governor of Chungcheongnam Province. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this m

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Wednesday, July 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 3, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** The Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next governor of Chungcheongnam Province. 

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this m

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next governor of Chungcheongnam Province. 

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 3"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.13M
* **Total Liquidity:** $147.0K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 7.70)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Chung Jin-suk win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $40.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Kang Seung-kyu win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $40.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $82.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $47.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Moon Jin-seok win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $367.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $98.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Sung Il-jong win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $48.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $33.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $374.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 92.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.6% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics