Name: Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election Winner
End: 2026-06-03T00:00:00.000Z

PredictPedia

Markets Wiki

Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election Winner | PredictPedia

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $2.26K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.26K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	42%
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	31%
Will Chung Jin-suk win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	26%
Will Sung Il-jong win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	23%
Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	22%
Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	19%
Will Moon Jin-seok win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	12%
Will Kang Seung-kyu win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	3%
Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

42%

Top Probability

$2.26K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next governor of Chungcheongnam Province. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this m

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, March 2, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 3, 2026 (93 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** The Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next governor of Chungcheongnam Province. 

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this m

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next governor of Chungcheongnam Province. 

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 3"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $19.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.12)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Chung Jin-suk win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $126
  DATA: [Yes: 25.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.2% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Kang Seung-kyu win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $145
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $307
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Moon Jin-seok win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $233
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $638
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $104
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.7% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Sung Il-jong win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $296
  DATA: [Yes: 22.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.3% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $277
  DATA: [Yes: 42.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.9% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $133
  DATA: [Yes: 30.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.3% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics