Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?

Name: Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?
End: 2026-06-30T23:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$21.29K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $21.29K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $21.29K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?	Poly	51%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

51%

Top Probability

$21.29K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of the AirTag 2 launches at $29.99 or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of the AirTag 2 as listed on the official Apple Store website or Apple’s retail pricing in the United States on the first official day of its release. If the price differs between configurations, this market will resolve according to the lower price of the vers

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, January 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 30, 2026 (167 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of the AirTag 2 launches at $29.99 or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of the AirTag 2 as listed on the official Apple Store website or Apple’s retail pricing in the United States on the first official day of its release.

If the price differs between configurations, this market will resolve according to the lower price of the vers

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of the AirTag 2 launches at $29.99 or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of the AirTag 2 as listed on the official Apple Store website "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $21.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $996
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 21.38)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $21.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

166d 6h remaining

Jun 30, 2026 11:00 PM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

51¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/TWwren" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?"></iframe>

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Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?

Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)