Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Bahia vs Mirassol

Total Volume

$295.20K

Events

Markets

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Bahia vs Mirassol

Vol

$295.20K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $295.20K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $295.20K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Bahia wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Bahia wins	Kalshi	78%
Tie is the result	Kalshi	18%
Mirassol wins	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

78%

Top Probability

$295.20K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

BAH vs MIR (Oct 11) If X wins the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie, the market c

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Bahia vs Mirassol
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** BAH vs MIR (Oct 11)

If X wins the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie, the market c

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tie is the result of the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Bahia v"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $295.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Tie is the result
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $48.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.3% (0.0%)]

### 2. Mirassol wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $78.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.8% (0.0%)]

### 3. Bahia wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $168.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 77.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.2% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Bahia vs Mirassol

Volume$295.20K

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

KALSHI

Bahia wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 77.8¢No 22.2¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Bahia wins

If Bahia wins the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Bahia vs Mirassol

KALSHI

Tie is the result

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 17.8¢No 82.3¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Tie is the result

If Tie is the result of the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Bahia v

KALSHI

Mirassol wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.3¢No 95.8¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Mirassol wins

If Mirassol wins the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Bahia vs Miras

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Average Yes Price

33¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/TYHtOG" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Bahia vs Mirassol"></iframe>

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Bahia vs Mirassol

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Bahia wins

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Bahia vs Mirassol

Markets (3)

Bahia wins

Bahia wins

Tie is the result

Tie is the result

Mirassol wins

Mirassol wins

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Bahia wins

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Bahia vs Mirassol

Bahia wins

Bahia wins

Tie is the result

Tie is the result

Mirassol wins

Mirassol wins

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