Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Top 14: Toulouse vs Bayonne

Name: Top 14: Toulouse vs Bayonne
End: 2026-10-18T19:05:00.000Z

Total Volume

$9.87K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Top 14: Toulouse vs Bayonne

Vol

$9.87K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $9.87K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $9.87K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Will Toulouse win?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Toulouse win?	Poly	100%
Will the match end in a draw?	Poly	0%
Will Bayonne win?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$9.87K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This event is for the upcoming Top 14 match between Toulouse and Bayonne, scheduled for October 11 2026.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Top 14: Toulouse vs Bayonne
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 18, 2026 (7 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Top 14 match between Toulouse and Bayonne, scheduled for October 11 2026.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 11 2026
If Toulouse wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $9.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $17.9K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.55)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Toulouse win?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the match end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $634
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Bayonne win?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $7.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Top 14: Toulouse vs Bayonne

This event is for the upcoming Top 14 match between Toulouse and Bayonne, scheduled for October 11 2026.

Volume$9.87K

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Will Toulouse win?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 100.0¢No 0.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will Toulouse win?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 11 2026 If Toulouse wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this

POLYMARKET

Will the match end in a draw?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.1¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will the match end in a draw?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 11 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up

POLYMARKET

Will Bayonne win?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.1¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will Bayonne win?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 11 2026 If Bayonne wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this

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Next Market Closes

Calculating time remaining…

Oct 18, 2026, 7:05 PM UTC

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

33¢

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HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Td-KMf" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Top 14: Toulouse vs Bayonne"></iframe>

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Top 14: Toulouse vs Bayonne

Top 14: Toulouse vs Bayonne

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Will Toulouse win?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Top 14: Toulouse vs Bayonne

Markets (3)

Will Toulouse win?

Will Toulouse win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will Bayonne win?

Will Bayonne win?

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Discussion

Next Market Closes

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Toulouse win?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Top 14: Toulouse vs Bayonne

Will Toulouse win?

Will Toulouse win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will Bayonne win?

Will Bayonne win?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Next Market Closes

Share

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