Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 14)

Name: What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 14)
End: 2026-10-15T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$4.40K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 14)

Vol

$4.40K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $4.40K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $4.40K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

21 markets tracked

Will "Actually" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(21)

Market	Platform	Price
Will "Actually" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Poly	97%
Will "Money" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Poly	97%
Will "Different" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Poly	97%
Will "Problem" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Poly	97%
Will "Think" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Poly	97%
Will "China" or "Chinese" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Poly	95%
Will "Honestly" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Poly	89%
Will "Ukraine" or "Ukrainian" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Poly	79%
Will "Red" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Poly	75%
Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said 15+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Poly	71%
Will "Iran" or "Iranian" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Poly	70%
Will "Blue" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Poly	63%
Will "Trump" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Poly	61%
Will "Green" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Poly	59%
Will "Korea" or "Korean" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Poly	49%
Will "Car" or "Vehicle" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Poly	43%
Will "Nordic" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Poly	21%
Will "World Cup" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Poly	12%
Will "Collateral" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Poly	6%
Will "Legality" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Poly	6%
Will no Lemonade Stand episode air?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

97%

Top Probability

$4.40K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The Lemonade Stand Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Wednesday. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast released after October 7, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast posted on YouTube. Any video posted to the channel https://www.youtube.com/@LemonadeStandPodcast with the words "Lemonade Sta

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 14)
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 15, 2026 (4 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** The Lemonade Stand Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Wednesday.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast released after October 7, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast posted on YouTube. Any video posted to the channel https://www.youtube.com/@LemonadeStandPodcast with the words "Lemonade Sta

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The Lemonade Stand Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Wednesday.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast released after October 7, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This marke"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $4.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $4.4K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said 15+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $362
  DATA: [Yes: 70.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will "Trump" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $361
  DATA: [Yes: 60.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will "Actually" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $33
  DATA: [Yes: 97.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.7% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will "Collateral" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will "Honestly" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $77
  DATA: [Yes: 89.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will "Think" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $32
  DATA: [Yes: 97.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.8% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will "Legality" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $128
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will "Money" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $38
  DATA: [Yes: 97.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.7% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will "World Cup" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $11
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will "Different" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $32
  DATA: [Yes: 97.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.7% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will "Problem" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $32
  DATA: [Yes: 97.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.7% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will "Red" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $282
  DATA: [Yes: 74.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will "Blue" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $232
  DATA: [Yes: 63.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will "Green" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $406
  DATA: [Yes: 59.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will "Car" or "Vehicle" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $535
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will "Nordic" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $252
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will "Iran" or "Iranian" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $401
  DATA: [Yes: 70.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will "China" or "Chinese" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $64
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will "Korea" or "Korean" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $385
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will "Ukraine" or "Ukrainian" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $320
  DATA: [Yes: 78.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 21.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will no Lemonade Stand episode air?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $421
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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