ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single short-window Polymarket contract on ZCash. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The title's window is October 20, 12:40AM to 12:45AM ET, and the listed end time is 2026-10-20T04:45:00.000Z [1].
The resolution source is the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the source states that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A comparison with other ZCash markets, exchanges, or spot prices would therefore use different rules and should not be treated as the same question.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot shows the outcome "Up" at 0.5 and the outcome "Down" at 0.5 [1]. The provider observation time is 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-19T06:12:18.094Z [1]. These times describe when the data was recorded, not when the contract closes or resolves. The market's status in the saved record is "active" [1].
Because the two prices are equal in this snapshot, the data shows no price difference between the two outcomes at that moment. A snapshot is not an executable quote, and it is not a verified probability. Volume figures, if present elsewhere, do not describe liquidity or the number of traders.
The sample covers one market from one event. The coverage record shows 1 total market, 1 included market, and no partial sample [1]. The source also notes that the saved sample "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Here, the only outcomes are the two binary sides, so no omitted outcome affects the reading.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices are at 0.5, and it does not show any trading activity, news, or market movement before or after the snapshot. It also does not show the actual resolution, since the listed end time is later than the retrieval time [1]. Any reading of this snapshot describes only the recorded prices at the observation time. Readers who want a current view need a newer provider observation, and they should check the contract rules again when comparing it with any other contract.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-window crypto price contract listed on Polymarket. It asks whether the price of ZCash (ZEC) in US dollars will finish a five-minute window at or above where it started. The title gives the window as October 20, 12:40AM to 12:45AM ET [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-20T04:45:00.000Z [1]. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The outcome therefore depends on an average across the window compared with the starting price, not on the closing price alone. The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second TWAP [1]. The contract states that only this Chainlink data stream counts, and not other sources or spot markets for the same asset pair [1]. At the observation time recorded for this record, the two outcomes were each priced at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices from that moment. They are not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities. The record also shows the contract's provider status as active [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of ZEC/USD over one specific five-minute window, as defined by a Chainlink TWAP data stream [1]. Because the comparison uses an average over the window against the starting price, a short spike near the start or end does not decide the result on its own. The rules also limit the outcome to one data feed, so a reader needs to know that feed to interpret the contract correctly [1]. The record covers one market in this event, which is a single binary contract with Up and Down outcomes [1]. The prices shown are a single snapshot at the observation time, so they describe how the market was priced at that moment, not how it stands now.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes this contract resolve to Up?
It resolves to "Up" if the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
What data source decides the outcome?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second TWAP. The contract says other sources or spot markets do not count [1].
What does the 0.5 price mean?
At the recorded observation time, both Up and Down were priced at 0.5 [1]. This is a snapshot of market prices, not an executable quote or a verified probability of either outcome.
When does this contract end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-20T04:45:00.000Z, which corresponds to the 12:45AM ET end of the window named in the title [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.