Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Earned Runs

Total Volume

$3.12K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Earned Runs

Vol

$3.12K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $3.12K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.12K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Tarik Skubal: 1+ earned runs?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Tarik Skubal: 1+ earned runs?	Kalshi	77%
Jacob Misiorowski: 1+ earned runs?	Kalshi	74%
Tarik Skubal: 2+ earned runs?	Kalshi	44%
Jacob Misiorowski: 2+ earned runs?	Kalshi	41%
Jacob Misiorowski: 3+ earned runs?	Kalshi	29%
Tarik Skubal: 4+ earned runs?	Kalshi	29%
Tarik Skubal: 3+ earned runs?	Kalshi	29%
Jacob Misiorowski: 4+ earned runs?	Kalshi	27%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

77%

Top Probability

$3.12K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

LAD vs MIL (Oct 11) If Jacob Misiorowski records X earned runs in the Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Jacob Misiorowski is scratched or is not a starting pitcher, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If Jacob Misiorowski is not a starting pitcher but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, relief

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Earned Runs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** LAD vs MIL (Oct 11)

If Jacob Misiorowski records X earned runs in the Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Jacob Misiorowski is scratched or is not a starting pitcher, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If Jacob Misiorowski is not a starting pitcher but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, relief 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Jacob Misiorowski records 4+ earned runs in the Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria
If Jacob Misiorowski is scratched or is not a st"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Jacob Misiorowski: 4+ earned runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $32
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Jacob Misiorowski: 3+ earned runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Jacob Misiorowski: 2+ earned runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $439
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Jacob Misiorowski: 1+ earned runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 74.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Tarik Skubal: 4+ earned runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Tarik Skubal: 3+ earned runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Tarik Skubal: 2+ earned runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $2.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 44.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Tarik Skubal: 1+ earned runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 76.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Earned Runs

Volume$3.12K

Markets8

8 of 8

Sort:

KALSHI

Tarik Skubal: 1+ earned runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 76.5¢No 23.5¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Tarik Skubal: 1+ earned runs?

If Tarik Skubal records 1+ earned runs in the Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Tarik Skubal is scratched or is not a starting pit

KALSHI

Jacob Misiorowski: 1+ earned runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 74.0¢No 26.0¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Jacob Misiorowski: 1+ earned runs?

If Jacob Misiorowski records 1+ earned runs in the Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Jacob Misiorowski is scratched or is not a st

KALSHI

Tarik Skubal: 2+ earned runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 44.0¢No 56.0¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Tarik Skubal: 2+ earned runs?

If Tarik Skubal records 2+ earned runs in the Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Tarik Skubal is scratched or is not a starting pit

KALSHI

Jacob Misiorowski: 2+ earned runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 41.0¢No 59.0¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Jacob Misiorowski: 2+ earned runs?

If Jacob Misiorowski records 2+ earned runs in the Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Jacob Misiorowski is scratched or is not a st

KALSHI

Jacob Misiorowski: 3+ earned runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 29.0¢No 71.0¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Jacob Misiorowski: 3+ earned runs?

If Jacob Misiorowski records 3+ earned runs in the Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Jacob Misiorowski is scratched or is not a st

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

44¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/TispIZ" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Earned Runs"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Earned Runs

Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Earned Runs

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Tarik Skubal: 1+ earned runs?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Earned Runs

Markets (8)

Tarik Skubal: 1+ earned runs?

Tarik Skubal: 1+ earned runs?

Jacob Misiorowski: 1+ earned runs?

Jacob Misiorowski: 1+ earned runs?

Tarik Skubal: 2+ earned runs?

Tarik Skubal: 2+ earned runs?

Jacob Misiorowski: 2+ earned runs?

Jacob Misiorowski: 2+ earned runs?

Jacob Misiorowski: 3+ earned runs?

Jacob Misiorowski: 3+ earned runs?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Tarik Skubal: 1+ earned runs?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Earned Runs

Tarik Skubal: 1+ earned runs?

Tarik Skubal: 1+ earned runs?

Jacob Misiorowski: 1+ earned runs?

Jacob Misiorowski: 1+ earned runs?

Tarik Skubal: 2+ earned runs?

Tarik Skubal: 2+ earned runs?

Jacob Misiorowski: 2+ earned runs?

Jacob Misiorowski: 2+ earned runs?

Jacob Misiorowski: 3+ earned runs?

Jacob Misiorowski: 3+ earned runs?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget