Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: Strikeouts

Total Volume

$494.27

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: Strikeouts

Vol

$494.27

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $494.27

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $494.27

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

15 markets tracked

Drew Rasmussen: 3+ strikeouts?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(15)

Market	Platform	Price
Drew Rasmussen: 3+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	91%
Foster Griffin: 2+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	86%
Drew Rasmussen: 4+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	82%
Drew Rasmussen: 5+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	73%
Foster Griffin: 3+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	70%
Drew Rasmussen: 6+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	54%
Foster Griffin: 4+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	53%
Drew Rasmussen: 7+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	35%
Foster Griffin: 5+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	32%
Drew Rasmussen: 8+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	21%
Foster Griffin: 6+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	19%
Drew Rasmussen: 9+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	12%
Foster Griffin: 7+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	10%
Foster Griffin: 8+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	5%
Drew Rasmussen: 10+ strikeouts?	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

91%

Top Probability

$494.27

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

CLE vs TB (Oct 12) If Foster Griffin records X strikeouts in the Cleveland vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Foster Griffin is scratched or is not a starting pitcher, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If Foster Griffin is not a starting pitcher but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, relief appearances wil

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: Strikeouts
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** CLE vs TB (Oct 12)

If Foster Griffin records X strikeouts in the Cleveland vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Foster Griffin is scratched or is not a starting pitcher, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If Foster Griffin is not a starting pitcher but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, relief appearances wil

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Foster Griffin records 8+ strikeouts in the Cleveland vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria
If Foster Griffin is scratched or is not a starting pitc"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $494
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Foster Griffin: 8+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Foster Griffin: 7+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Foster Griffin: 6+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Foster Griffin: 5+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Foster Griffin: 4+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Foster Griffin: 3+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 70.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Foster Griffin: 2+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 85.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Drew Rasmussen: 9+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Drew Rasmussen: 8+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Drew Rasmussen: 7+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $424
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Drew Rasmussen: 6+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Drew Rasmussen: 5+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 72.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Drew Rasmussen: 4+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 81.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Drew Rasmussen: 3+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 90.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Drew Rasmussen: 10+ strikeouts?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $61
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: Strikeouts

Volume$494.27

Markets15

15 of 15

Sort:

KALSHI

Drew Rasmussen: 3+ strikeouts?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 90.5¢No 9.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Drew Rasmussen: 3+ strikeouts?

If Drew Rasmussen records 3+ strikeouts in the Cleveland vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Drew Rasmussen is scratched or is not a starting pitc

KALSHI

Foster Griffin: 2+ strikeouts?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 85.5¢No 14.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Foster Griffin: 2+ strikeouts?

If Foster Griffin records 2+ strikeouts in the Cleveland vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Foster Griffin is scratched or is not a starting pitc

KALSHI

Drew Rasmussen: 4+ strikeouts?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 81.5¢No 18.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Drew Rasmussen: 4+ strikeouts?

If Drew Rasmussen records 4+ strikeouts in the Cleveland vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Drew Rasmussen is scratched or is not a starting pitc

KALSHI

Drew Rasmussen: 5+ strikeouts?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 72.5¢No 27.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Drew Rasmussen: 5+ strikeouts?

If Drew Rasmussen records 5+ strikeouts in the Cleveland vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Drew Rasmussen is scratched or is not a starting pitc

KALSHI

Foster Griffin: 3+ strikeouts?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 70.0¢No 30.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Foster Griffin: 3+ strikeouts?

If Foster Griffin records 3+ strikeouts in the Cleveland vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Foster Griffin is scratched or is not a starting pitc

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Average Yes Price

43¢

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Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: Strikeouts

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Drew Rasmussen: 3+ strikeouts?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: Strikeouts

Markets (15)

Drew Rasmussen: 3+ strikeouts?

Drew Rasmussen: 3+ strikeouts?

Foster Griffin: 2+ strikeouts?

Foster Griffin: 2+ strikeouts?

Drew Rasmussen: 4+ strikeouts?

Drew Rasmussen: 4+ strikeouts?

Drew Rasmussen: 5+ strikeouts?

Drew Rasmussen: 5+ strikeouts?

Foster Griffin: 3+ strikeouts?

Foster Griffin: 3+ strikeouts?

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Drew Rasmussen: 3+ strikeouts?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: Strikeouts

Drew Rasmussen: 3+ strikeouts?

Drew Rasmussen: 3+ strikeouts?

Foster Griffin: 2+ strikeouts?

Foster Griffin: 2+ strikeouts?

Drew Rasmussen: 4+ strikeouts?

Drew Rasmussen: 4+ strikeouts?

Drew Rasmussen: 5+ strikeouts?

Drew Rasmussen: 5+ strikeouts?

Foster Griffin: 3+ strikeouts?

Foster Griffin: 3+ strikeouts?

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